TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jannik Sinnerof Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$968,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,118,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $968,890 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6f8b…01aabacked Alexander Zverev17c142,999$24,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,309.858429.8%25 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1980…67d8backed Alexander Zverev18c53,917$9,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,7051118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alexander Zverev10c52,278$5,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,343.588,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Alexander Zverev16c49,880$7,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,933.711,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Alexander Zverev17c38,988$6,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,627.9620040%80 W · 120 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Alexander Zverev9c35,000$3,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,308.0531234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked Alexander Zverev17c33,400$5,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,677.972352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f75…af7ebacked Alexander Zverev17c26,033$4,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,512.8610761.7%66 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Alexander Zverev2c18,588$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.6644018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alexander Zverev5c16,036$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.194,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Alexander Zverev8c14,101$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.6918315.8%29 W · 154 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8d…17a2backed Alexander Zverev17c13,632$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,377.551266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+42.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Alexander Zverev5c12,481$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.511,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb5…50c3backed Alexander Zverev2c11,281$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Alexander Zverev7c7,692$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.71525.8%3 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked Alexander Zverev7c7,403$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4903046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05c7…4421backed Alexander Zverev5c6,821$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.13345.9%2 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-72.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Alexander Zverev18c6,111$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10033037.3%123 W · 207 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexander Zverev16c6,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9606,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Alexander Zverev16c6,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9604,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e26…e4d1backed Alexander Zverev17c5,614$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.9110436.5%38 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ec8…762abacked Alexander Zverev5c4,108$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.866139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Alexander Zverev17c4,054$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.262,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d0b…f682backed Alexander Zverev16c3,821$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Alexander Zverev10c3,497$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33972132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Alexander Zverev16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50062545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Alexander Zverev18c2,917$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52530740.7%125 W · 182 L-23.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6919…cc07backed Alexander Zverev6c2,792$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1555724.6%14 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-25.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab5…fdc0backed Alexander Zverev5c2,500$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick29cpaid-84.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed99…2677backed Alexander Zverev17c2,335$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39714748.3%71 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed Alexander Zverev18c2,327$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.0422821.1%48 W · 180 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Alexander Zverev7c2,307$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16434748.1%167 W · 180 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Alexander Zverev18c2,150$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3871,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Alexander Zverev16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3209134.1%31 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde27…2cfdbacked Alexander Zverev7c1,933$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1344247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Alexander Zverev17c1,921$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.6295140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Alexander Zverev17c1,765$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.991,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alexander Zverev9c1,745$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.937,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa5…63afbacked Alexander Zverev2c1,730$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.167810.3%8 W · 70 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Alexander Zverev17c1,705$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9378536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Alexander Zverev8c1,683$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6238911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Alexander Zverev2c1,581$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.593349.6%32 W · 302 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Alexander Zverev18c1,539$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.541,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2445…ff62backed Alexander Zverev17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2553839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c03…5c25backed Alexander Zverev15c1,425$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.811040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Alexander Zverev18c1,424$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa054…07c2backed Alexander Zverev17c1,257$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.888146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa56c…3020backed Alexander Zverev14c1,250$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Alexander Zverev8c1,238$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006262.9%39 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc829…cad3backed Alexander Zverev17c1,229$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911945.4%54 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Alexander Zverev7c1,200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848640.7%35 W · 51 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+60.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Alexander Zverev13c1,194$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Alexander Zverev17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.991,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f61…67ebbacked Alexander Zverev5c1,080$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac39…95c7backed Alexander Zverev17c1,036$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1767025.7%18 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Alexander Zverev18c1,030$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.421937.9%83 W · 136 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b2…0f1ebacked Alexander Zverev4c998.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.966341.3%26 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747c…0412backed Alexander Zverev17c990$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked Alexander Zverev4c950.45$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3814325.9%37 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Alexander Zverev9c947.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2716029.4%47 W · 113 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Alexander Zverev16c888$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.084156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x03ca…0d05backed Alexander Zverev15c854.73$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5a…ad74backed Alexander Zverev18c838.89$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43f0…4d78backed Alexander Zverev8c836.63$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x957b…716dbacked Alexander Zverev2c815.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-85.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9019…64c3backed Alexander Zverev4c800.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.04616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Alexander Zverev17c799.11$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.858934.8%31 W · 58 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Alexander Zverev17c746.92$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9813427.6%37 W · 97 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Alexander Zverev18c732.67$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.881,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da5…8b2ebacked Alexander Zverev17c610.76$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.835863.8%37 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Alexander Zverev17c608.16$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.043,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed Alexander Zverev17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-78.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0204…0b2abacked Alexander Zverev17c596.12$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Alexander Zverev17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014154.6%77 W · 64 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa23…7afabacked Alexander Zverev17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Alexander Zverev7c572.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde87…11a2backed Alexander Zverev18c560$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.86835.3%24 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Alexander Zverev17c560$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.285748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Alexander Zverev18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048331.1%150 W · 333 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9961…edcfbacked Alexander Zverev18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005030%15 W · 35 L-5.9wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-33%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Alexander Zverev18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9012253.3%65 W · 57 L+14.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+42.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed Alexander Zverev17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8524840.7%101 W · 147 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Alexander Zverev17c499.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.642,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Alexander Zverev16c499.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9922449.6%111 W · 113 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alexander Zverev7c489.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.122,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Alexander Zverev9c484.44$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0455243.3%239 W · 313 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10df…2206backed Alexander Zverev14c412.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610825.9%28 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Alexander Zverev16c409.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5917746.9%83 W · 94 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2673…7965backed Alexander Zverev8c398.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.145632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6231…8272backed Alexander Zverev18c384.94$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Alexander Zverev8c360.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030948.9%151 W · 158 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Alexander Zverev15c347.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1127247.4%129 W · 143 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc36…53c3backed Alexander Zverev18c333.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012849.2%63 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6794…0a8bbacked Alexander Zverev18c311.11$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5613016.9%22 W · 108 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd030…2133backed Alexander Zverev17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505719.3%11 W · 46 L-9.2wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-50%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4af0…9996backed Alexander Zverev17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+56.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Alexander Zverev17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc510…5c9fbacked Alexander Zverev4c287.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.57360.3%44 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Alexander Zverev17c282.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…323abacked Alexander Zverev18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013640.4%55 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.