Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b147e5444a78df80fdd5e656c3e33a7d57250b2886ce96fa9e8a8bd69d76267
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Sinner, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02d8…0c91backed Sinner | 78c | 33,981$26,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,522.72 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Zverev | 22c | 22,727$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Zverev | 22c | 4,400$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zverev | 22c | 3,167$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.79 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Zverev | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…a319backed Sinner | 79c | 1,267$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Zverev | 23c | 869.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Zverev | 23c | 790.17$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.74 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Zverev | 22c | 479$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Zverev | 23c | 471.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e047backed Zverev | 24c | 417.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Zverev | 24c | 361.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…bfa7backed Sinner | 80c | 250.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 282 | 65.6%185 W · 97 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zverev | 20c | 239.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Zverev | 22c | 223$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sinner | 77c | 209.09$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Zverev | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2d…0344backed Zverev | 21c | 143.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Sinner | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Zverev | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 30.4%56 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e1…cc7bbacked Sinner | 77c | 103.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…3020backed Zverev | 25c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Sinner | 80c | 90.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…c3c2backed Zverev | 24c | 84.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Zverev | 22c | 70.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Sinner | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Zverev | 23c | 64.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8131…1c69backed Sinner | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Zverev | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Sinner | 76c | 51.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad76…36adbacked Sinner | 77c | 39.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…977ebacked Sinner | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed Sinner | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sinner | 79c | 20.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e9…1587backed Sinner | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c4…a7ffbacked Sinner | 77c | 18.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Zverevthis page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevJannik Sinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)Sinner won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.