Tennis · resolved market
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fe257d1bd9fb0b16af6fe764428e5c2aab4684c10a5970946d73b8eb24371f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Over | 56c | 20,777$11,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,696.92 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 43c | 11,500$4,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,515 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 3,672$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.39 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 45c | 1,945$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.57 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 48c | 1,723$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.53 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 1,033$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.33 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Over | 57c | 843.99$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.05 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 43c | 750$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Under | 45c | 688.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 45c | 499.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.53 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Under | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Over | 55c | 447$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.85 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 57c | 261.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Under | 44c | 219.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.92 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 56c | 176.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 55c | 174.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…33bebacked Over | 56c | 163.39$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 43c | 130$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…9a48backed Over | 56c | 125.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 40c | 123.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 43c | 115.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…3c91backed Over | 55c | 108.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3378…149fbacked Over | 57c | 66.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 54c | 50.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c6…09a2backed Under | 46c | 40.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…6476backed Under | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…e06abacked Over | 56c | 38.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd380…9209backed Over | 57c | 33.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 53c | 30.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d9…e61abacked Under | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Under | 45c | 27.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9824…3999backed Over | 55c | 27.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…62b2backed Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 46c | 26.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a3…52dbbacked Over | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Over | 57c | 25.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 220 | 59.5%131 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevJannik Sinner won
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)Sinner won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.