Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pepperdine Waves vs. San Diego Toreros: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c24207e38d9bfceb59d32d1af1c71579f4635068c3a3cdfc7556cafb4598aae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $597,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $598,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 58c | 574,881$333,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333,327.63 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 42c | 400,000$168,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 42c | 145,627$61,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,463.54 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 43c | 20,000$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,500 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 2,970$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.36 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 53c | 2,560$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.18 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 53c | 2,324$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.72 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 56c | 2,222$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.27 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 56c | 2,155$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.95 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 1,275$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.91 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 44c | 892.21$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.64 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 733.07$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.93 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 40c | 600$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.68 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 50c | 590.36$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.18 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 44c | 576.18$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.68 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Under | 44c | 381.82$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.82 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 308.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 44c | 227.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.33 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Under | 45c | 221.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.64 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked Under | 41c | 220$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 68c | 194.55$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.74 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 45c | 186$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 167$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Under | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf891…d3b6backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 43c | 85.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 44c | 79.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Under | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…6354backed Under | 42c | 47.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 54c | 45.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Under | 44c | 45.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 44c | 44.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 47c | 42.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 43c | 37.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a83…3453backed Under | 45c | 24.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad9…47e5backed Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pepperdine Waves vs. San Diego Toreros: O/U 147.5this page
- Pepperdine Waves vs. San Diego TorerosSan Diego Toreros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.