Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9cbeaf00c1c9497b2358037ff3bcb4721c19f4c006f481ff8926233a160bac0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $591,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94f0…cd31backed No | 80c | 191,287$152,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,823.14 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 20c | 148,760$30,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,206.53 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 20c | 32,500$6,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,550 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Yes | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 20c | 2,520$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 2,189$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.21 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Yes | 20c | 1,372$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 11c | 1,237$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.21 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 21c | 1,152$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.37 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 79c | 851.85$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.89 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 20c | 842.65$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.53 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 689.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.36 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 20c | 566.75$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.35 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Yes | 21c | 250$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 21c | 230.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 209.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…51e8backed No | 80c | 209.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 21c | 188.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 21c | 169$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Yes | 20c | 155.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Yes | 22c | 140$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Yes | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…6354backed Yes | 20c | 92.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 21c | 91.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes | 21c | 74.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…9a56backed Yes | 21c | 71.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 20c | 62.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd671…26f2backed Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes | 22c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…f705backed No | 80c | 43.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…9a09backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…07bfbacked No | 80c | 37.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 25.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a51…02d3backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will Aberdeen FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.