Cricket · resolved market
Will the match end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf824802349b39199b5fe9de1232bb021f13995d357829ba1d9080566c69ea085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 8c | 4,589$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.19 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 16c | 4,000$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…be1dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 1c | 3,838$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b61…a7bcbacked Yes | 1c | 3,380$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Yes | 3c | 2,071$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 25c | 1,500$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.72 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes | 7c | 921.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 69c | 508.29$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…3c59backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…5019backed No | 70c | 438.26$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.45 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…c980backed Yes | 41c | 407.5$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4896…7431backed Yes | 44c | 406.83$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.01 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d038backed Yes | 23c | 346.35$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 116 | 25%29 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 80c | 343.77$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…31e6backed Yes | 30c | 287.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…1142backed No | 76c | 270.2$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 24c | 260$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 461 | 47.7%220 W · 241 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…2febbacked No | 76c | 200$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Yes | 39c | 177.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 24c | 165.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 496 | 47%233 W · 263 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 26c | 164.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…7cffbacked Yes | 35c | 157.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…7be5backed Yes | 19c | 128.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 73c | 119$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed No | 79c | 117.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 77c | 117.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…8b82backed No | 74c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e1…e453backed Yes | 20c | 74.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…ca07backed No | 63c | 57.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…1e44backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 53.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…7193backed Yes | 27c | 52.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…7680backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed Yes | 28c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 75c | 39.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…1be9backed No | 79c | 30.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match end in a draw?this page
- Will England win?Yes won
- Will New Zealand win?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.