Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani on Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7cff8fedf3051728adbff49e88e10c583b9fdf2f92cf43e2f70126938a3a270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 32c | 4,790$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.48 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked No | 3c | 3,800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 71c | 3,270$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.62 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked No | 28c | 1,297$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.49 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8f24backed No | 1c | 1,183$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 77c | 784.97$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.54 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 72c | 775$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.25 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 11c | 749.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Yes | 67c | 728.77$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.53 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 25c | 690$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.2 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 74c | 683.48$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.91 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…0db3backed No | 32c | 587.9$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 79c | 540.51$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 11c | 511.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 70c | 399.97$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.25 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 56c | 363$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.46 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 34c | 342.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 31c | 334.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.66 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 67c | 332.36$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 22c | 320.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 70c | 299.87$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…26b0backed Yes | 78c | 256.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6429…33fcbacked Yes | 64c | 243.47$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6b…297cbacked No | 37c | 204.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed No | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c7f9backed No | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…d81fbacked Yes | 66c | 183.32$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 74c | 183.12$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 70c | 180.35$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc489…6ea2backed No | 36c | 175$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…372ebacked Yes | 63c | 163.74$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed No | 29c | 150.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…c051backed No | 20c | 149.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 68c | 148.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 28c | 142.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked No | 35c | 141.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…eceabacked Yes | 78c | 137.84$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 57c | 128.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed Yes | 71c | 113.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78f…218ebacked Yes | 72c | 110.37$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…a55fbacked Yes | 62c | 80.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 66c | 80.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 63c | 79.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a93…9491backed Yes | 64c | 76.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5719…5c01backed Yes | 74c | 75.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…e028backed No | 24c | 66.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…0f9dbacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…141abacked No | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed Yes | 62c | 58.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked Yes | 62c | 58.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26a8…2726backed Yes | 78c | 57.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb731…4cb2backed No | 35c | 57.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b5…16b0backed No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…d1afbacked No | 35c | 56.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…8ae5backed No | 34c | 54.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed No | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…7c6cbacked No | 44c | 45.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 55c | 45.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…942dbacked Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…9b09backed Yes | 72c | 41.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4d…905abacked Yes | 62c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…afb0backed No | 30c | 37.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…de22backed Yes | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…7aecbacked No | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd757…94aabacked Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…4602backed Yes | 65c | 29.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…75e6backed Yes | 75c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…d179backed Yes | 76c | 25.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed96…04aebacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed Yes | 65c | 23.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cf…0243backed Yes | 73c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7023…1fe5backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc361…1f72backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa5…3f52backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…8f15backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9150…3b8cbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 69c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01d8…375bbacked Yes | 76c | 13.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.