Earnings · resolved market
Will Jabil (JBL) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb89baccda5af9c6cbc15c029df25e26ba5bbcc515563e85f15fa50790cc0ec6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 8,712$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes | 80c | 3,743$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.31 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 17c | 3,392$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 51c | 2,520$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.96 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…ac16backed No | 48c | 814.3$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 14c | 649.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 20c | 648$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed No | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…46d6backed No | 16c | 580.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 49c | 555$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.95 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d67…81f2backed No | 15c | 500.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed No | 22c | 464.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 16c | 454.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 41c | 429.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.16 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 68c | 354.78$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 47c | 350$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfb…71b7backed No | 44c | 350$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 72c | 330.13$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.44 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 30c | 285$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 45c | 280.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd9…647bbacked No | 33c | 276.94$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 16c | 232.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 7c | 216.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 20c | 203.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…9a10backed No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8560…5847backed No | 22c | 185$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…5c91backed No | 48c | 185$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed No | 16c | 183.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfb…9762backed Yes | 55c | 182.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ec…f6a1backed Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…364fbacked Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc0…cd0abacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…3655backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…5d91backed Yes | 54c | 97.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 27c | 74.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ee…e354backed No | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…31f1backed No | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…3fb3backed No | 23c | 54.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd374…5544backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c18…9ceabacked No | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -91%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c18…b8cebacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…693cbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.