Us Politics · resolved market
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcfd1f7362a5a23554f1065e7d2adc5c6469007c8d4c4c99551674496b8a74c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 11c | 4,451$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.09 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,070$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.98 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…f94abacked No | 61c | 1,980$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…53eabacked No | 77c | 1,661$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 63c | 1,535$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.86 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…fabdbacked No | 66c | 1,493$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 1,408$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.66 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…75ddbacked Yes | 38c | 1,391$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f3b8backed No | 68c | 1,387$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,361$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3b…9672backed No | 65c | 1,132$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 68c | 1,124$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.56 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 41c | 999.97$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595b…9eeabacked Yes | 40c | 774.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d74…96ebbacked No | 77c | 650$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Yes | 42c | 588.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…50ffbacked No | 62c | 579.63$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Yes | 40c | 542.35$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.95 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed No | 59c | 511.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed No | 66c | 499.98$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes | 40c | 499.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Yes | 45c | 447.96$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 67c | 441.36$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.65 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 34c | 426$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 61c | 376.14$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.69 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 332.21$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 66c | 332.16$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.58 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213d…2978backed No | 69c | 330.91$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 56c | 322.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 34c | 310.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 9c | 305.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…42a9backed No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 37c | 299.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 20c | 293.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 22c | 271.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 31c | 269.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked No | 60c | 258.35$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 50c | 240.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 43c | 232.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 12c | 222.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 6c | 207.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 203.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed No | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…8fc2backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…0307backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…93b1backed No | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…9925backed No | 57c | 199.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4ee8backed Yes | 43c | 190.91$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3b…0937backed No | 68c | 189.77$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5202…7975backed Yes | 42c | 188.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 177$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…331dbacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a45…c42dbacked No | 74c | 164.3$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 28c | 158.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…4d9abacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…cbf9backed No | 62c | 150.05$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b07…4ebbbacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 42c | 142.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 20c | 134.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248e…d3a8backed No | 68c | 134.12$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…07cdbacked Yes | 13c | 130.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +263.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Yes | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf624…4f7ebacked No | 57c | 108.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256e…8a38backed Yes | 35c | 101$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…6c6dbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…b18cbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c1…c739backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…5d95backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 36c | 95.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 33c | 90.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…e0debacked Yes | 39c | 89.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d7…5253backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…3363backed No | 60c | 86.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…df38backed No | 57c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed No | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…a3a8backed Yes | 33c | 75.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked No | 54c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked No | 61c | 60.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…6764backed No | 61c | 57.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e37…f8e0backed Yes | 46c | 52.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85b…6d4bbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…f574backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 78c | 47.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…2349backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…c0aebacked Yes | 41c | 44.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5232…0ec5backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ec…963ebacked No | 69c | 38.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?this page
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 22, 2025?Yes won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 23, 2025?Yes won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 24, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 25, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 26, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 27, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 28, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 30, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 31, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 1, 2026?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 2, 2026?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 3, 2026?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 4, 2026?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 5, 2026?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 7, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.