TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 7, 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,081 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes2c3,000$57 inLost-$572240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed No77c599.99$460 inWon+$14019236.5%70 W · 122 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes2c562.12$14 inLost-$13.8912630.2%38 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+105.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed Yes21c450.64$93 inLost-$92.6618425%46 W · 138 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes29c344.91$100 inLost-$1004226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bc7…8a02backed Yes23c304.37$69 inLost-$69.1740%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8fe…51a4backed Yes4c299.98$11 inLost-$11.130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes5c200$10 inLost-$1010127.7%28 W · 73 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…2289backed Yes19c197.45$38 inLost-$38.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cf…88fabacked Yes12c190$23 inLost-$22.82653.8%14 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+30.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c71…a36dbacked Yes9c185.68$16 inLost-$16.091573.3%11 W · 4 L+5.8wins+0.38per pick35cpaid+271.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes18c183.6$32 inLost-$32.41631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes27c149.89$40 inLost-$4014125.5%36 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Yes28c120.69$34 inLost-$3430%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2a…6eabbacked No75c100$75 inWon+$252030%6 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x69ed…2b21backed Yes28c95.43$27 inLost-$26.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed No77c80.14$62 inWon+$18.186756.7%38 W · 29 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7388…d580backed Yes27c75.19$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed Yes18c69.33$13 inLost-$12.6742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b3…35bcbacked No80c52.78$42 inWon+$10.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11b…f663backed No78c46.98$37 inWon+$10.31190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick68cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad8e…776ebacked No72c45.43$33 inWon+$12.721258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7758…7125backed No76c33.26$25 inWon+$8.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d75…95bdbacked No79c13.85$11 inWon+$2.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7170…b729backed No80c13.78$11 inWon+$2.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.