NFL · resolved market
Total Over/Under 48.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0853796aef55f9278bece25cef6b3e293cbf72966dcf0bbf5ee4a903de5ab721
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Under | 52c | 29,021$15,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,007.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Over | 48c | 13,294$6,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,913.03 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Over | 48c | 11,428$5,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,942.5 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Over | 48c | 10,263$4,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,336.66 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Under | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 7,685$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Under | 43c | 2,298$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.13 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Over | 48c | 2,150$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Over | 49c | 2,125$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.7 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Over | 44c | 1,041$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.88 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Over | 79c | 746.19$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed Under | 50c | 744$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Over | 51c | 670$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.4 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 640.38$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Over | 50c | 535.26$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.32 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2d…f033backed Under | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Over | 48c | 413.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…93c7backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 48c | 387.8$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.65 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…9938backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Over | 48c | 337.79$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.65 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd617…0e39backed Over | 49c | 328.29$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…2983backed Under | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Over | 26c | 205.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.57 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c91…fd02backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…ae66backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…0c54backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Over | 46c | 189.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.19 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x162a…844ebacked Over | 49c | 183.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f7…e1d3backed Over | 57c | 176.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1841…c63dbacked Under | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d07…31a0backed Over | 49c | 148.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Over | 48c | 148.34$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8079…effabacked Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Over | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Over | 48c | 131.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…ddaebacked Over | 38c | 119.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 49c | 117.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed Over | 50c | 116.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…8559backed Over | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…f077backed Over | 49c | 102.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…3824backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Over | 50c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e6…bc81backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…e133backed Under | 49c | 91.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…f880backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…7a88backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Over | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Under | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f8…453dbacked Under | 50c | 63.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…7badbacked Under | 51c | 59.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Over | 57c | 58.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd389…4b84backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…2022backed Over | 61c | 57.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Under | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Under | 60c | 53.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…b2c1backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Over | 49c | 50.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x107f…c83fbacked Over | 49c | 44.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…e9b7backed Under | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…5d86backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b9…9507backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…1698backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Under | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Under | 47c | 38.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ab…b76bbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…70c5backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Under | 52c | 37.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 195 | 64.6%126 W · 69 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…9cfabacked Under | 72c | 32.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c22…e09abacked Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…421ebacked Under | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…7947backed Under | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…07c9backed Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…c1febacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…64bcbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…9a01backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…91b8backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Under | 46c | 25.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf81b…c09fbacked Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…3a7fbacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Under | 59c | 24.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 254 | 53.9%137 W · 117 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…5910backed Under | 80c | 24.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0316…4a42backed Under | 62c | 24.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…036ebacked Over | 59c | 22.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.