Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf02164e4832cd8cac604dd4513dd964bcd293c949e507cde7f0757978713c264
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,477 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 23,784$6,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,294.61 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 52c | 9,999$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,149.51 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 49c | 9,163$4,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,673.27 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 5,370$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.22 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked No | 50c | 4,353$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.56 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 49c | 4,317$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.43 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 2,180$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.68 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 49c | 2,095$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.73 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…b4a7backed Yes | 49c | 1,992$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Yes | 51c | 1,780$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 50c | 1,401$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.8 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 51c | 1,375$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.15 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 26c | 961.43$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.28 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 51c | 960.53$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.48 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked No | 51c | 723.53$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 52c | 676.54$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.74 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 50c | 594.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…c50fbacked Yes | 74c | 570.55$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 53c | 566.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 50c | 560.8$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.2 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 505.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.72 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 49c | 473.48$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.05 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 48c | 414.58$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.58 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 48c | 398.06$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 49c | 375$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 31c | 338.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 60c | 331.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.21 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 50c | 302.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…30a6backed Yes | 49c | 226.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 50c | 205$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 200.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 26c | 195.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed No | 27c | 193$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…6117backed Yes | 49c | 188$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…32b0backed Yes | 48c | 178$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 49c | 176.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 54c | 166.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 52c | 165.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked No | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 25c | 162.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 49c | 151.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 47c | 134.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 50c | 120.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 49c | 117.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 79c | 114.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 58c | 112.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 51c | 100.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 48c | 85.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 50c | 81.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked No | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 48c | 81.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…1e09backed No | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked No | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…955bbacked Yes | 50c | 73.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 49c | 73.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Yes | 51c | 73.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 52c | 71.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 55c | 71.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 69.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 48c | 68.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…5cb6backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 56c | 60.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…8d6ebacked No | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 59.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 51c | 58.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 56c | 53.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa91…4325backed No | 52c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…295fbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Yes | 49c | 49.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.