TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,477 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No26c23,784$6,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,294.613,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No52c9,999$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,149.512552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes49c9,163$4,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,673.274254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes49c5,370$2,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.221,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked No50c4,353$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.565541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes49c4,317$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.434949%24 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c2,180$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.682,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No49c2,095$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.7334144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…b4a7backed Yes49c1,992$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Yes51c1,780$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.39650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes50c1,401$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.822747.1%107 W · 120 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes51c1,375$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.155653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No26c961.43$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.2810026%26 W · 74 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No51c960.53$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.4816850%84 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked No51c723.53$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3691931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes52c676.54$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.744643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes50c594.12$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.121741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcaf5…c50fbacked Yes74c570.55$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.34366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-13.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No53c566.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006129.5%18 W · 43 L-7.1wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes50c560.8$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.218759.4%111 W · 76 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No49c505.93$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7256951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24015847.5%75 W · 83 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes49c473.48$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.0556547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.781450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes48c414.58$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.589043.3%39 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes48c398.06$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.9911252.7%59 W · 53 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes49c375$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2548146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No31c338.91$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.951,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes60c331.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.215955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.58950.6%45 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes50c302.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12563645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd87…30a6backed Yes49c226.53$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.53862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes49c220$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.233047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.333265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.530054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed No49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-50.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.087958.2%46 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No16c200.97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.549143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Yes52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes49c200$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1034443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005044%22 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No26c195.72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8953645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed No27c193$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.117219.4%14 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d66…6117backed Yes49c188$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf716…32b0backed Yes48c178$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No49c176.61$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6112157.9%70 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes54c166.82$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6581732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed No52c165.07$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.353540%14 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No49c163.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked No49c163.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No25c162.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8822221.6%48 W · 174 L-34.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No49c151.51$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.243357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes47c134.91$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.511543.5%50 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes49c125$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.755944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No50c120.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3142046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes49c117.41$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8818353%97 W · 86 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes79c114.4$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.411751.3%60 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes58c112.25$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.259856.1%55 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.044551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked No51c100.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.277755.8%43 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503040%12 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed No49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+42.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504235.7%15 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes48c85.77$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7720436.3%74 W · 130 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes50c81.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.962450%12 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked No49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No48c81.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0630647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x78c2…1e09backed No52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked No53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402564%16 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02a4…955bbacked Yes50c73.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes49c73.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7625850.4%130 W · 128 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Yes51c73.53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No52c71.04$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.944156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes55c71.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9616056.9%91 W · 69 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes71c69.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2755058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes48c68.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.545556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes49c67.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3518140.3%73 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba6c…5cb6backed Yes46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.221450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Yes45c64.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.445939%23 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes48c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.021,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes49c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6249647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes56c60.41$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.416645.5%30 W · 36 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd9c…8d6ebacked No52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No49c59.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2139857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No51c58.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.358555.3%47 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked No51c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0512843%55 W · 73 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes56c53.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.55054%27 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa91…4325backed No52c53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes49c51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.018647.7%41 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Yes49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.52352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254240.5%17 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4801…295fbacked Yes49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1310251%52 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Yes49c49.36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.362832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…c2e0backed No52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.