TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$751,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $751,753 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under49c113,776$55,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,770.333557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3333…15bdbacked Over53c84,405$44,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,850.811850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c81,188$38,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,883.036952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Over51c64,208$32,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,461.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under48c59,316$28,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,471.734459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee17…b46ebacked Under48c40,270$19,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,329.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,7003756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c29,778$15,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,303.4115455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed Over52c17,312$9,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,309.65757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under47c14,892$6,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.2421143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over52c14,808$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,107.692661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Over52c13,531$7,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,494.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under48c13,500$6,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,514.965156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over52c12,837$6,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,161.8637638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Over51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9003050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c8,157$3,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,833.2821144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over52c7,692$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x453d…86aabacked Over52c6,763$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Over52c6,731$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,230.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.23580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+58.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Over52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.23683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Under48c5,733$2,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,751.661637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over52c5,605$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,690.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Under52c4,973$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,583.571631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f84…0982backed Over52c4,808$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb1…0d66backed Over52c4,702$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c4,573$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.241,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Over51c4,497$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb18…6d4ebacked Over51c4,120$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9204057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9601361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.151952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over51c3,543$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.141560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4406553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under47c2,998$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.031233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c2,994$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.1112839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Over53c2,830$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.181464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c2,707$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.1520150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under50c2,519$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Over50c2,165$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c2,132$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.2862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under48c2,121$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.0817043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under48c2,105$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.381464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+38.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c1,998$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.8929949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef7d…a3f0backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c1,565$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.6887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Over52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked Over55c1,301$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.851952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c1,055$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1287.1%2 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+346.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under1c1,004$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe548…a51abacked Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13224.5%1 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid+139.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4904751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4803333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over52c968$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.5612147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over31c832.25$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+45%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under57c788.68$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over54c782.16$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.046132.8%20 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Over52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Over43c762.57$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.47650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Over53c758.07$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.711070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over57c739.07$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.333759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c684.85$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over52c658.11$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.98450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over52c615.38$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.382458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2941573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Over52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.921136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over52c575$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2763756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over69c541.19$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7724052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under46c524.07$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.858434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+257.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Over51c450.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed Under48c420$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-57.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over52c405.21$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.711741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over51c403.27$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under4c402.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.02922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick7cpaid+345.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1961060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under47c399.94$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over52c365.38$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.388654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over40c359.22$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.538333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Under48c356.35$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over51c340.21$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.71361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over46c336.3$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.331631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-41.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Over52c319.49$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under50c312.6$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.312448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Under51c311.32$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over46c273.8$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.811044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over38c264.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.21936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over52c260.5$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.91666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Under47c255.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2155…f351backed Under50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.