Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd122c25898f88a8cf16ff3a7e2460f4e1e264565aa1d86dfc37e47aeccecea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,167 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 31c | 111,493$34,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,562.67 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 69c | 26,068$17,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,081 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 69c | 24,814$17,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,692.93 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 69c | 24,350$16,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,548.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 69c | 18,888$13,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,855.28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 69c | 13,399$9,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,135.85 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 3,090$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.24 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 28c | 1,887$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.62 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 70c | 1,510$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Under | 72c | 1,383$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 21c | 974$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Over | 23c | 507.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Under | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 31c | 320.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 28c | 313.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Over | 31c | 268.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 28c | 259$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 13c | 244.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 175.18$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 30c | 174.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 158.49$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 69c | 143.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 11c | 137.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +282.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd77…d379backed Under | 70c | 131$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 70c | 131$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 71c | 124.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…dc22backed Under | 71c | 115.12$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Over | 18c | 111.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 14cpaid | +535.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…6a80backed Under | 63c | 97.18$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 29c | 96.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 29c | 85.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 69c | 85.43$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 29c | 75.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 28c | 61.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 18c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 71c | 52.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Under | 76c | 50.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 32c | 50.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7119…076bbacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Over | 31c | 40.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed Under | 73c | 35.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 68c | 27.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…360ebacked Under | 69c | 26.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 73c | 21.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 78c | 15.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Under | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5this page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)Lille OSC won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)Lille OSC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.