Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6242a27a9ef6cbdf46e0d60ae93a6c77ad482619d455add032728d793f6fb188
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,862 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 5,013$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.67 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 57c | 4,729$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 3,515$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.45 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 51c | 1,583$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.89 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 49c | 1,306$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 1,017$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.47 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 53c | 702.27$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 43c | 662.24$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.57 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 57c | 556$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.43 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 41c | 434.88$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.88 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 311.03$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.33 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 52c | 250.46$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 249.77$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.61 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 51c | 228$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Yes | 46c | 175.16$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.83 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 43c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 54c | 124.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 121$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed No | 43c | 118.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 56c | 100.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 51c | 92.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 56c | 82.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked No | 46c | 48.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 53c | 47.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…8240backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92da…82fabacked Yes | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…6ef3backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…cc23backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 80c | 30.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes | 43c | 29.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…5e45backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 40c | 26.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…4f81backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 52c | 22.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…eaccbacked Yes | 54c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)Lille OSC won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)Lille OSC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.