Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ccd6c0c97c6a5541479bedb3240736de1cbac76f6cfea280bc2365c6f4aedd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lille OSCof Olympique de Marseille, Lille OSC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,517 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Olympique de Marseille | 31c | 1,588$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.14 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lille OSC | 69c | 1,481$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.3 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lille OSC | 76c | 911.81$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.8 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Olympique de Marseille | 13c | 880.44$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.29 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Olympique de Marseille | 37c | 756.76$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Olympique de Marseille | 19c | 660.79$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.74 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3e…b9a4backed Olympique de Marseille | 28c | 237.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…9c77backed Lille OSC | 72c | 237.69$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Olympique de Marseille | 30c | 145.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Lille OSC | 72c | 105.35$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Olympique de Marseille | 27c | 81.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Olympique de Marseille | 27c | 51.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f60…257cbacked Lille OSC | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…e3c3backed Lille OSC | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)this page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)Lille OSC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.