Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34dc3c5fa63a13c32ae33d907c7e40525a6a0ea597b8f94b9f5edda55bba9f6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama Crimson Tideof Alabama Crimson Tide, Hofstra Pride
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,129 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Hofstra Pride | 55c | 45,055$24,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,783.44 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 44c | 12,098$5,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,726.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 10,126$4,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,561.16 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 4,676$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.65 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 4,635$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.25 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 4,548$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.42 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 44c | 3,556$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.45 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 1,920$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.74 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Hofstra Pride | 54c | 1,836$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.31 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Hofstra Pride | 55c | 1,352$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 1,260$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.95 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Hofstra Pride | 55c | 1,178$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.36 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…0a0cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 851.85$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 414.66$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.42 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 409.45$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.1 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 380$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 373.95$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.46 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f1…d942backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 347$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 295.28$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 247.83$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.83 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…6e97backed Hofstra Pride | 50c | 222.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Hofstra Pride | 55c | 198.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 44c | 178.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 74c | 117.18$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 109.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Hofstra Pride | 55c | 90.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…b8ffbacked Hofstra Pride | 54c | 78.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 76.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hofstra Pride | 65c | 75.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…0e08backed Hofstra Pride | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…e6fdbacked Hofstra Pride | 55c | 54.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 52.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…3d34backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 47.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98cf…b8eabacked Hofstra Pride | 56c | 44.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.9wins | -0.45per pick | 54cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Hofstra Pride | 68c | 41.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 38.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 33.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 32.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Hofstra Pride | 51c | 27.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…bcbdbacked Hofstra Pride | 55c | 26.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…9332backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 26.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Hofstra Pride | 54c | 25.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 23.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Hofstra Pride | 52c | 22.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-12.5)this page
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson TideAlabama Crimson Tide won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 151.5Over won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 154.5Over won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 155.5Over won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 156.5Over won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 157.5Over won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 158.5Over won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 159.5Over won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 160.5Under won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 162.5Under won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-10.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-13.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-2.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-8.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.