Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 158.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x906fc566eb7644dcd408ab08b851c524c902fe0bf5e9f58b89450b9e814a7a06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,478 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 1,795$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.38 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked Under | 50c | 1,699$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.18 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 49c | 1,373$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Under | 51c | 1,263$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.31 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,001$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.58 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over | 50c | 946.74$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.37 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 51c | 793$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.43 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 726.76$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.54 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 43c | 642.81$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.39 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 50c | 641.34$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.67 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3530…984cbacked Over | 51c | 417.32$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 414.82$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.92 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…da7fbacked Under | 51c | 409.29$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 338.31$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.92 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 297.38$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.95 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0586…cb84backed Over | 51c | 239.88$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ff…40d7backed Over | 51c | 231.76$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 208.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 179.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 155.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Over | 52c | 121.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa57c…25dcbacked Over | 51c | 117.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Over | 50c | 114.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 110.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 48c | 103.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Under | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 50c | 96.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Under | 50c | 78.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 45c | 77.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…46e2backed Under | 50c | 68.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over | 50c | 60.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 57c | 59.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Under | 50c | 57.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 48c | 51.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 47.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79e…5e9ebacked Over | 50c | 45.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 58c | 32.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 47c | 29.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 158.5this page
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson TideAlabama Crimson Tide won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 151.5Over won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 154.5Over won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 155.5Over won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 156.5Over won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 157.5Over won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 159.5Over won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 160.5Under won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 162.5Under won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-10.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-12.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-13.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-2.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-8.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.