Tennis · resolved market
Miyazaki: Renta Tokuda vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37822cad34bd6863737fa5301dd3e8dbde5c3514475259e76359d2b42eca4597
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yu-Hsiou Hsuof Renta Tokuda, Yu-Hsiou Hsu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Renta Tokuda | 21c | 4,414$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.51 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Renta Tokuda | 18c | 2,285$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.81 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Renta Tokuda | 17c | 2,000$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.44 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Renta Tokuda | 21c | 1,899$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.14 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Renta Tokuda | 23c | 1,853$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.82 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Renta Tokuda | 20c | 1,496$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.12 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Renta Tokuda | 7c | 1,431$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.83 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 79c | 1,317$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.21 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Renta Tokuda | 2c | 1,309$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Renta Tokuda | 2c | 1,280$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Renta Tokuda | 16c | 1,272$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.02 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 77c | 1,040$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.05 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Renta Tokuda | 10c | 931.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Renta Tokuda | 29c | 709.66$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Renta Tokuda | 4c | 680.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Renta Tokuda | 22c | 599.95$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Renta Tokuda | 22c | 599.38$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.46 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…8f66backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 73c | 547.95$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Renta Tokuda | 11c | 546.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Renta Tokuda | 25c | 449.96$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 74c | 406.45$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 77c | 357$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 73c | 354.16$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.62 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Renta Tokuda | 25c | 327.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 77c | 325$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Renta Tokuda | 28c | 321.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Renta Tokuda | 13c | 238.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 79c | 230.51$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 75c | 229.33$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Renta Tokuda | 18c | 199.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 74c | 189.56$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 74c | 174.31$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Renta Tokuda | 7c | 168.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Renta Tokuda | 26c | 158.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Renta Tokuda | 12c | 157.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Renta Tokuda | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…df70backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 78c | 144.05$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 73c | 136.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Renta Tokuda | 21c | 135.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Renta Tokuda | 25c | 122.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 77c | 106.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Renta Tokuda | 17c | 95.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…2942backed Renta Tokuda | 27c | 86.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Renta Tokuda | 21c | 82.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 72c | 78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 299 | 58.5%175 W · 124 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a7…3576backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 75c | 75.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 152 | 58.6%89 W · 63 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Renta Tokuda | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…1a23backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 77c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Renta Tokuda | 20c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Renta Tokuda | 29c | 60.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Renta Tokuda | 26c | 56.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Renta Tokuda | 31c | 54.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…be0dbacked Renta Tokuda | 21c | 53.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b7…bfe9backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 74c | 49.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 76c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Renta Tokuda | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa91a…22d6backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 72c | 44.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d62…0a41backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 76c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Renta Tokuda | 29c | 40.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 75c | 40.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 73c | 30.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…8eb4backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 74c | 19.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miyazaki: Renta Tokuda vs Yu-Hsiou Hsuthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Tokuda vs HsuHsu won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.