TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bucharest Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Alex Molcan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alex Molcanof Billy Harris, Alex Molcan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,288
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,288 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Alex Molcan75c13,311$10,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,279.611,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Billy Harris25c12,643$3,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,103.266432.8%21 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…6d93backed Billy Harris27c5,940$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac7…336cbacked Billy Harris37c5,434$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007639.5%30 W · 46 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Billy Harris9c4,909$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.32,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Billy Harris28c4,777$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.4130744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Billy Harris11c4,633$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017936.9%66 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Billy Harris12c3,493$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.428,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Billy Harris8c3,000$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.230715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Alex Molcan70c3,000$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.9972452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Billy Harris18c2,810$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.436,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Billy Harris27c2,573$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70011435.1%40 W · 74 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Alex Molcan72c2,221$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.1456757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4084…357abacked Billy Harris25c1,983$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+47.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Alex Molcan74c1,976$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.2830847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Alex Molcan78c1,934$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.51,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alex Molcan73c1,905$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.491,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Billy Harris24c1,820$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.83,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Billy Harris25c1,773$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.4422033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Billy Harris18c1,654$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.044,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Billy Harris25c1,617$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.841,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Billy Harris18c1,605$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2879737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Alex Molcan71c1,529$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.4178152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Alex Molcan74c1,482$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.5452661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Alex Molcan73c1,402$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.381,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Billy Harris29c1,380$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.227733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Billy Harris24c1,342$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.436,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Billy Harris11c1,256$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6712740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb2…fea3backed Alex Molcan75c1,247$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.277945.6%36 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Alex Molcan71c1,171$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.312,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Billy Harris16c1,120$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Alex Molcan76c1,111$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.4773745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Billy Harris29c1,048$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025544.7%114 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa070…cd87backed Alex Molcan72c1,044$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alex Molcan72c1,024$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.322,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Billy Harris21c1,019$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8524638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Billy Harris30c1,007$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2991931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Alex Molcan71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2903151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Billy Harris26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9530857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Billy Harris21c996.35$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.231,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Alex Molcan75c959.63$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.914436.4%16 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Billy Harris13c956.39$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1723429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked Billy Harris19c927.41$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6861755.9%345 W · 272 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Alex Molcan76c791.76$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.272560%15 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Billy Harris27c766.6$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.664,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Billy Harris20c743.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Alex Molcan76c738.15$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.94,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Billy Harris17c698.52$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.952,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Billy Harris28c681$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2528038.2%107 W · 173 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe256…1dd8backed Billy Harris13c680.9$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.673435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Alex Molcan74c662.8$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0265157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Billy Harris26c624.13$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.7946553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6410…ee60backed Billy Harris26c601.87$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.49633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b8…632abacked Billy Harris18c600.06$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9514344.1%63 W · 80 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ba2…eb93backed Alex Molcan73c560$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.27364.4%47 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Billy Harris25c558$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0399044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Alex Molcan79c546.02$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.712766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cf7…0505backed Billy Harris23c539.13$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Billy Harris14c536.79$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7527040%108 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Billy Harris27c527.06$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.511,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Alex Molcan76c518.77$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0617262.8%108 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde37…f6e9backed Billy Harris23c511.64$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.781040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Alex Molcan76c506.42$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5452854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Alex Molcan73c465.84$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.849761.9%60 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb659…48e5backed Billy Harris12c454$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.551127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Alex Molcan74c420$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.355941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Billy Harris29c413.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Billy Harris25c412$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10365652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Billy Harris26c411.54$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10754450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked Billy Harris24c411.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.761952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+87.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Alex Molcan73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9622465.2%146 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Alex Molcan73c410.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.962,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6170…f3fdbacked Billy Harris25c406.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027762.8%174 W · 103 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Billy Harris22c405.86$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2958734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Billy Harris25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd044…0abdbacked Billy Harris24c399$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.761241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Billy Harris24c398.95$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.454124.4%10 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Billy Harris14c395.72$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5535436.4%129 W · 225 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Billy Harris29c392.48$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.821,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Billy Harris25c380.74$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7623750.6%120 W · 117 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Alex Molcan75c359.36$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.127755.8%43 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Billy Harris14c346.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4967836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Billy Harris26c345.6$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.446932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Billy Harris29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Alex Molcan72c344.4$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.421,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6353…777fbacked Billy Harris29c332.29$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.422568%17 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Billy Harris30c329.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048144.5%214 W · 267 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Billy Harris14c312.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4521641.7%90 W · 126 L-0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Alex Molcan78c296.59$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.849565.3%62 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Billy Harris26c295.63$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.041,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68af…ca81backed Billy Harris13c293.42$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.121720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Billy Harris4c288.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5580938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Alex Molcan72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7823965.3%156 W · 83 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Alex Molcan73c273.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3259965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Alex Molcan75c256$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Billy Harris26c235.49$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.047,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Billy Harris9c222.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Billy Harris36c208.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7514850%74 W · 74 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72bc…e667backed Billy Harris26c207.69$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Billy Harris28c207.14$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5818957.1%108 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.