CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Imperial (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9a6643d0e97456f66d18ee43ddb1307ed0faf97a69447f929d10d8f64cec6a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marsborneof Marsborne, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,194 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Imperial | 54c | 8,937$4,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,861.81 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568c…fbd0backed Marsborne | 66c | 8,142$5,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.81 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial | 39c | 4,252$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.93 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Marsborne | 46c | 2,707$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.52 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Imperial | 52c | 2,506$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.18 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Marsborne | 35c | 1,640$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.16 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Marsborne | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.6 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Marsborne | 32c | 817.4$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Marsborne | 34c | 766.57$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.65 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed Marsborne | 16c | 688.42$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.14 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Marsborne | 48c | 678$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.72 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Imperial | 47c | 571.66$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.76 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…5b36backed Marsborne | 63c | 403.1$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.23 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Imperial | 58c | 402.27$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.77 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Marsborne | 48c | 389.58$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.58 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Marsborne | 67c | 308.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Imperial | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf79…850bbacked Imperial | 60c | 278.82$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.16 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed Imperial | 45c | 264.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.37 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Marsborne | 48c | 233.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Marsborne | 47c | 229.79$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.79 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked Imperial | 48c | 206.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Marsborne | 45c | 165.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Marsborne | 43c | 160.04$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…dd89backed Imperial | 49c | 156.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…491cbacked Imperial | 68c | 154.24$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Marsborne | 67c | 148.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Imperial | 33c | 146.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Imperial | 66c | 142.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Imperial | 40c | 125.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Imperial | 38c | 121.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…ec20backed Imperial | 32c | 115.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Marsborne | 47c | 115.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Marsborne | 30c | 115$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Imperial | 33c | 111.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…174fbacked Marsborne | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Imperial | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Imperial | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Marsborne | 51c | 95.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Imperial | 47c | 90.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Marsborne | 32c | 86.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Marsborne | 37c | 84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b7…bfe9backed Marsborne | 44c | 77.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…be8ebacked Imperial | 50c | 69.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…bdcebacked Marsborne | 72c | 66.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Marsborne | 43c | 51.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…d760backed Imperial | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Imperial | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Marsborne | 47c | 38.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Imperial | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad3c…41d6backed Marsborne | 35c | 35.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Imperial | 65c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Marsborne | 53c | 33.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Marsborne | 68c | 33.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…dc2ebacked Marsborne | 68c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…dc72backed Marsborne | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Marsborne | 43c | 28.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…8182backed Marsborne | 68c | 26.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed Imperial | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Marsborne | 48c | 23.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.