Champions League · resolved market
Will Monaco beat Dinamo Zagreb?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26c6f2c27f500f3130a48c641234341e9bb2c2d8f9c64c2e52c178ef0ce63d18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 42c | 5,052$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 58c | 3,393$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.72 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bf54backed No | 45c | 2,626$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 42c | 1,798$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.62 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2b…839ebacked Yes | 59c | 1,050$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 41c | 1,007$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.58 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d67…05e7backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc275…43d7backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…b310backed Yes | 60c | 551.51$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 46c | 537.09$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.29 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c1…4586backed Yes | 59c | 510$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 42c | 369.95$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.24 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 41c | 332.96$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.45 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…bde6backed Yes | 59c | 248.38$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc548…b0c8backed No | 41c | 248$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…dd15backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…a81bbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…8eb2backed Yes | 60c | 167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…5a3abacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 58c | 166.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 58c | 108.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…762dbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…60e7backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe9…f4e5backed Yes | 59c | 89.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 41c | 84.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…db6abacked Yes | 59c | 76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed Yes | 62c | 72.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 62cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd74f…674fbacked Yes | 60c | 54.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…9aecbacked Yes | 60c | 52.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ec…ec37backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…e20fbacked Yes | 59c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…7760backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 40c | 30.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…35eebacked Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 57c | 23.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…328bbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked Yes | 60c | 19.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7957…cfa3backed Yes | 58c | 17.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Monaco beat Dinamo Zagreb?this page
- Will Dinamo Zagreb beat Monaco?No won
- Will the match between Dinamo Zagreb and Monaco end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.