Champions League · resolved market
Will the match between Dinamo Zagreb and Monaco end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46e872d2fca8d284ece60c31c99879f13889836a4782b68059d3470118aa3c5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 77c | 3,754$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.46 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 76c | 2,495$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.49 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 24c | 1,708$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.79 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 22c | 1,475$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.21 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 78c | 1,062$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.92 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 23c | 999$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.23 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 22c | 555$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.9 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 22c | 225.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.34 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…2853backed No | 78c | 173.46$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…4cb5backed Yes | 25c | 172$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a1…5d25backed Yes | 23c | 122.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 53c | 84.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 79c | 55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked No | 79c | 55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 77c | 51.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6990…68febacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 62cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…e20fbacked No | 79c | 16.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between Dinamo Zagreb and Monaco end in a draw?this page
- Will Dinamo Zagreb beat Monaco?No won
- Will Monaco beat Dinamo Zagreb?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.