Token Launches · resolved market
Hawk Tuah token by Thanksgiving?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60115dfb843bf196467091c583ff57020da58700c95d2e8f14fa80ac65829d77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed No | 4c | 15,804$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 1c | 9,271$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.11 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…700fbacked No | 74c | 7,976$5,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,940.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…42f0backed Yes | 41c | 7,655$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,552.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…28acbacked Yes | 42c | 7,095$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed No | 74c | 6,833$5,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,072.67 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f5…2e8dbacked Yes | 10c | 6,550$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,894.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +186.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5283…654ebacked Yes | 40c | 5,211$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked No | 40c | 5,200$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.97 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df8…5907backed No | 2c | 5,198$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac3…cd44backed Yes | 22c | 4,625$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,606.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +353.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 46c | 4,458$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed Yes | 65c | 4,073$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 28cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a6…740fbacked No | 80c | 3,932$3,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,129.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 5c | 3,913$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.42 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked No | 1c | 3,574$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…0febbacked Yes | 13c | 3,440$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +291%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 18c | 2,750$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e5…a482backed Yes | 21c | 2,677$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +216.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…8c3dbacked No | 19c | 2,355$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 2,270$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.86 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe793…0781backed Yes | 24c | 2,049$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +309.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 71c | 1,972$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Yes | 29c | 1,737$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…0626backed No | 36c | 1,662$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +160.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 16c | 1,567$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.46 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 28c | 1,523$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c6…dba8backed Yes | 19c | 1,455$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +168.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7a…7a7cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,060$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556d…23bdbacked Yes | 75c | 1,056$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +78%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…4041backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 55c | 941.18$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked No | 10c | 880.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…5848backed No | 1c | 799.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…e2bcbacked Yes | 24c | 793.62$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +317.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed No | 8c | 759.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cf…9191backed Yes | 68c | 739.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 63c | 733.29$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 64c | 731.73$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 8c | 620$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.02 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…e11cbacked Yes | 38c | 554.78$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 20c | 517.96$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.38 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…fd9fbacked Yes | 24c | 504.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…a5b0backed Yes | 40c | 499.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…a39bbacked No | 61c | 463.78$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5b…b95ebacked Yes | 37c | 436.01$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…863abacked Yes | 36c | 411.94$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…ef6abacked Yes | 8c | 406.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…02dfbacked No | 10c | 400.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 10cpaid | +619.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…ca49backed Yes | 45c | 388.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1b…d2b1backed No | 79c | 387.11$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83c…7b43backed Yes | 53c | 371.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…90abbacked No | 54c | 371.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7728…f932backed Yes | 19c | 369.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +256.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…a663backed No | 63c | 338.58$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…98d7backed No | 77c | 309.14$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…af53backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…635ebacked No | 71c | 298.41$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecf…c70bbacked No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…8a3cbacked Yes | 33c | 263.15$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…a832backed Yes | 27c | 262.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed No | 75c | 262.1$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…8eaebacked No | 74c | 257.22$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e6…c94cbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…3068backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Yes | 29c | 243.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 14c | 234.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.3 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +295.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x715b…3ee1backed No | 45c | 222.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…ba9abacked No | 43c | 203$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…f37bbacked No | 73c | 200.74$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +8.0wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +195.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c8…0b36backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed No | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked No | 73c | 199.91$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…53e4backed Yes | 76c | 187.54$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a4…7bf2backed Yes | 24c | 185.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +311.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 52c | 171.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8895…7673backed No | 65c | 170$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…f011backed Yes | 66c | 167.9$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…847cbacked Yes | 27c | 167.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f61…8212backed Yes | 56c | 165.45$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…7be2backed No | 52c | 161.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5053…2966backed Yes | 36c | 141.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +178.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9421…c375backed No | 72c | 139.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…7d39backed Yes | 14c | 139.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +595.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 15c | 138.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…9f04backed Yes | 17c | 137.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked Yes | 50c | 133.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0760…c72ebacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…1920backed Yes | 19c | 128.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f98…78e4backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…5102backed Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174a…f2cebacked No | 56c | 117.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…584fbacked No | 74c | 117.03$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0776…abb4backed Yes | 15c | 117$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d7…8adcbacked Yes | 22c | 116.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +349.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ad…968fbacked No | 66c | 116.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…5ac8backed Yes | 26c | 114.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +282.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…5374backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.