Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2024-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fbb8ff4cd386bd94c2a3e4720c64a976cc56184f9045c93a4c2f0d9eef1ad30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0271…57e5backed Yes | 0c | 7,583$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…ce9dbacked Yes | 26c | 4,058$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 74c | 3,696$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.07 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 78c | 1,838$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.68 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 18c | 1,167$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.07 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2796…4562backed Yes | 7c | 1,025$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.6 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked Yes | 3c | 700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 78c | 443.98$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.67 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…ef44backed Yes | 23c | 355.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 43c | 353$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.79 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe9…f4e5backed No | 55c | 339.87$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3fbfbacked Yes | 22c | 299.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 78c | 299.8$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 78c | 222$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…fb74backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +208%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked Yes | 21c | 168$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 72c | 139.21$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Yes | 19c | 131.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 74c | 119.85$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed Yes | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc681…14cbbacked No | 79c | 94.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 79c | 88.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…868dbacked Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 22c | 67.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…7735backed Yes | 27c | 56.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be0…2b54backed Yes | 21c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…2863backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…c2f0backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…bb47backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2024-10-19?this page
- Will Man Utd vs. Brentford end in a draw?No won
- Will Man Utd win on 2024-10-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.