TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Pistons, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,413
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,413 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Bucks64c28,113$17,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,224.4247656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b45…ea09backed Pistons51c23,549$12,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,106.443727%10 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Bucks65c7,298$4,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,582.2965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Pistons15c6,409$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.639035.6%32 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Bucks53c6,107$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,886.8970147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Pistons32c6,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8906943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b30…d81bbacked Pistons33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd64…0a67backed Pistons33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe55d…802cbacked Pistons29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6d7…cce8backed Bucks67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76c0…c65dbacked Bucks67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6505100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b7e…08ccbacked Bucks71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4504100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcac6…6745backed Bucks70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec27…c9c6backed Pistons30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a8a…845abacked Bucks69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick71cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2c…a4cebacked Pistons33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc07…9098backed Pistons31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39ed…c73dbacked Bucks67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Pistons45c4,482$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.6330443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Pistons31c3,815$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.4946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Bucks63c3,288$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.9211459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Bucks67c2,474$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.4433752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked Pistons32c2,428$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7775457.4%31 W · 23 L+13.2wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+76.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed Bucks69c2,240$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.482564%16 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+51.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Bucks70c2,200$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66037954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Pistons75c2,004$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.7529635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.981,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab15…dd2fbacked Pistons8c1,690$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.64712.8%6 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x007c…82fdbacked Bucks65c1,526$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.181668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Bucks53c1,422$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.8511332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Pistons61c1,403$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.1826547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Bucks71c1,400$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40623548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Bucks40c1,343$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.6325939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Bucks68c1,318$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.928436.9%31 W · 53 L-10.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Bucks31c1,252$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.748334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fab…773fbacked Pistons2c1,185$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pistons4c1,135$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.61,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Pistons31c1,060$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.776249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Pistons34c1,012$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.219642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pistons32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pistons31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f59…6eb9backed Pistons32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x833d…faedbacked Bucks69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Bucks54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4607549.3%37 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5553…2567backed Pistons30c999.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.631338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+64.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfda0…e18abacked Pistons31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bucks70c963$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.91,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b74…a4f4backed Pistons35c958.87$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3312528%7 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Bucks76c918.52$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.528537.6%32 W · 53 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Pistons48c906.25$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4316533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Pistons11c905.09$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4718316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1797…a900backed Pistons30c830.28$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.172025%5 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Bucks69c827.64$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.5728063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a3…5532backed Pistons20c807.25$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.842157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Bucks69c798.68$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6830954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ed7…537abacked Bucks69c798.14$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.881540%6 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Pistons39c774.12$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa657…2e3cbacked Pistons26c763.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+63.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b52…8cf9backed Bucks36c745.6$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Bucks70c713.9$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1719943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4de…a998backed Pistons32c693.06$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.78650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25fd…04f2backed Bucks69c693.06$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Bucks63c631.4$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.6214233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd92…e5dbbacked Pistons32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b0…8e0dbacked Bucks25c591.57$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.681747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Bucks32c577.84$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.5321338%81 W · 132 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Pistons74c558.1$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.0623646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5d…ad4fbacked Pistons9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Pistons30c555$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.522832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Bucks44c529.14$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.148347%39 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Bucks77c516.92$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8924554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Pistons30c500.01$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed Bucks67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Pistons30c499.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9911926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8326…da54backed Pistons32c499.93$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.981346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ed…085abacked Pistons34c493.89$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.961127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons37c492.31$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.311,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Bucks21c477.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.629724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Pistons43c460.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007352.1%38 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ee…ae97backed Pistons46c435.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa319…02dabacked Pistons19c400.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7435…9054backed Pistons30c332$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.23837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3010…00c2backed Bucks66c305.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.333237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbfb…c4e8backed Pistons34c303$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pistons5c300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.867502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Pistons31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9310462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a1…6e1cbacked Pistons30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x439d…4a10backed Bucks17c299.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.99580%4 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick34cpaid+253.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Pistons34c278.71$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9516443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa991…678cbacked Pistons18c270.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pistons32c266.31$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0572341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8186…e3d2backed Pistons41c235.26$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.253132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c2a…1e46backed Pistons43c234.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Bucks66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2715646.2%72 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pistons76c210.79$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8259646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0397…9c15backed Bucks70c210$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Bucks66c203.29$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.871,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…6134backed Pistons9c201.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.23616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Pistons32c200.52$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6424462.3%152 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Pistons59c200$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11721743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.