NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe03a3f8cd716d0aec3767cb983a4601eeeea28fe8da525531b2155cf3e848965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Bucks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Bucks | 68c | 5,811$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.12 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Grizzlies | 67c | 4,530$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.34 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Bucks | 44c | 4,343$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Bucks | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.96 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bucks | 66c | 2,994$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.57 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Grizzlies | 34c | 2,282$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.53 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 1,913$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Grizzlies | 32c | 1,654$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.23 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Bucks | 12c | 1,542$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Grizzlies | 31c | 1,400$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Grizzlies | 31c | 1,380$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.12 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Bucks | 70c | 1,308$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.86 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Grizzlies | 78c | 1,240$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.73 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Bucks | 46c | 1,206$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.61 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…d268backed Bucks | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Grizzlies | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 999.87$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.91 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Grizzlies | 41c | 941.05$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0150…a67abacked Grizzlies | 33c | 918.27$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.24 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Grizzlies | 51c | 918.14$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.34 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Grizzlies | 62c | 904.77$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.33 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9cf8backed Bucks | 20c | 894.95$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.87 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…b1ecbacked Bucks | 64c | 870$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Grizzlies | 61c | 839.38$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.3 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Bucks | 13c | 809.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.19 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…73fdbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 769.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Grizzlies | 32c | 627.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.02 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Grizzlies | 36c | 612.98$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.45 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Grizzlies | 36c | 513.69$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.26 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…5576backed Grizzlies | 30c | 440.79$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.55 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +85%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…dbdebacked Bucks | 68c | 423$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Bucks | 66c | 420.87$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.77 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Grizzlies | 42c | 418.18$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Bucks | 38c | 300$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Grizzlies | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Grizzlies | 58c | 258.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.47 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Bucks | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…4df6backed Grizzlies | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…c3adbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 246.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…162ebacked Bucks | 69c | 237.6$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Bucks | 8c | 229.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Bucks | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Bucks | 11c | 222.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f34…cfafbacked Bucks | 22c | 219.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Bucks | 68c | 199.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Grizzlies | 33c | 193.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.94 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d3…08adbacked Bucks | 36c | 178.62$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…6176backed Grizzlies | 59c | 168.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Grizzlies | 30c | 161.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bucks | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Bucks | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…d02cbacked Grizzlies | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Bucks | 17c | 144.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…1dfbbacked Bucks | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…0cf9backed Bucks | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Bucks | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Bucks | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Grizzlies | 30c | 129.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Bucks | 22c | 125.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9622…b484backed Grizzlies | 33c | 124.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Bucks | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Bucks | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Bucks | 67c | 99.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Grizzlies | 31c | 99.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…b4cdbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 93.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…1d0cbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 93.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 91.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Grizzlies | 34c | 91.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Grizzlies | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78d…b76abacked Grizzlies | 32c | 87.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…6e4abacked Grizzlies | 32c | 84.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…0e56backed Bucks | 67c | 79.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ab…812fbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 78.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815c…4dd3backed Grizzlies | 32c | 71.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Bucks | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47db…9b16backed Grizzlies | 32c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…dc5abacked Grizzlies | 33c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…dd8ebacked Bucks | 70c | 69.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…3050backed Bucks | 70c | 69.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…0419backed Bucks | 68c | 66.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…4712backed Grizzlies | 34c | 64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d2…bad3backed Bucks | 68c | 63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…5485backed Grizzlies | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe63c…92b8backed Grizzlies | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc83c…a102backed Grizzlies | 32c | 62.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Grizzlies | 50c | 60.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…1fafbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4895…344abacked Bucks | 68c | 60.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Grizzlies | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…8d23backed Grizzlies | 34c | 59.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…4b34backed Bucks | 68c | 55.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Grizzlies | 30c | 52.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…7ec6backed Bucks | 68c | 52.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…05d5backed Grizzlies | 33c | 52.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +200.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa376…6fe3backed Bucks | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…8d25backed Bucks | 68c | 51.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa31b…c038backed Grizzlies | 34c | 50.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 46cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Bucks | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2a…30c4backed Bucks | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.