College Football · resolved market
CFB: Clemson vs. Virginia Tech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcad2c69d54ffcc1ab9c2f8306bcc39f11fdba70bb5c86586e0c207034b315460
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemsonof Clemson, VA Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x480d…f219backed Clemson | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed VA Tech | 56c | 959.13$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.78 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed VA Tech | 33c | 500$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.85 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed VA Tech | 47c | 408.83$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.81 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Clemson | 68c | 375$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Clemson | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Clemson | 65c | 265.26$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…1e02backed VA Tech | 32c | 144.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…c067backed VA Tech | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked VA Tech | 32c | 125.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…2a31backed Clemson | 68c | 101.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…30adbacked Clemson | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Clemson | 69c | 79.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…4fd9backed VA Tech | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed VA Tech | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Clemson | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c3…5350backed Clemson | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed VA Tech | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Clemson | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…c88cbacked Clemson | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked Clemson | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Clemson | 69c | 14.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.