College Football · resolved market
Will LSU beat USC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d9ff1f59e3f9188576346b3a329d97121299aca6547988bd00bead29e6cc2a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USCof LSU, USC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3102…406abacked LSU | 65c | 26,689$17,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,346.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed USC | 39c | 10,408$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,314.58 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked LSU | 66c | 10,038$6,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,597.54 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked USC | 34c | 7,700$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,082 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…2f80backed USC | 35c | 7,493$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,870.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked USC | 35c | 5,448$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537.22 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked USC | 35c | 3,491$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked USC | 38c | 2,436$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.42 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked LSU | 61c | 994.22$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked USC | 36c | 965.38$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed USC | 35c | 945.64$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.66 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf168…5725backed USC | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed LSU | 67c | 500$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed USC | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed USC | 42c | 350$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed USC | 40c | 334$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked USC | 35c | 293$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.45 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…d19cbacked LSU | 58c | 268.27$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb6…b0b6backed USC | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b64…f7cfbacked LSU | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478c…1c81backed LSU | 59c | 220$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed USC | 35c | 199.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfa…a0dabacked LSU | 59c | 194.92$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed USC | 51c | 194.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…82fbbacked USC | 43c | 163.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3f…8b64backed LSU | 64c | 155$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed LSU | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b3cbacked LSU | 52c | 143.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…48cfbacked LSU | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…3625backed LSU | 54c | 141$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…5686backed USC | 36c | 135.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefcd…e2ebbacked USC | 38c | 125$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed USC | 52c | 122.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed USC | 37c | 120.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed USC | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed LSU | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed USC | 37c | 99.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…b987backed LSU | 62c | 92.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed USC | 48c | 90.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed LSU | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…0df4backed LSU | 65c | 77.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed LSU | 59c | 76.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed USC | 38c | 69.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked USC | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d0…50b9backed LSU | 63c | 63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13aa…895ebacked LSU | 59c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed LSU | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked USC | 71c | 40.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cc…f88fbacked LSU | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…0e64backed LSU | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…ee8ebacked LSU | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked USC | 50c | 26.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…2b5abacked LSU | 49c | 21.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…030bbacked USC | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed LSU | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked LSU | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked LSU | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LSU beat USC?this page
- Will LSU win by 5 or more points?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.