TailMyPicks
Market

Champions League · resolved market

Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Stade Brestois?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,047 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e2e…745cbacked Yes67c6,760$4,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,540944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No34c5,295$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,473.3215442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes66c4,524$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes63c4,042$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,539.631741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed No34c4,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.931233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked No37c3,863$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.959038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No34c3,592$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.817348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No36c3,090$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.4322647.3%107 W · 119 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No32c2,750$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.3411548.7%56 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x548a…69c9backed Yes66c2,238$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed No35c2,173$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.113240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb36f…365bbacked Yes66c1,667$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes65c1,555$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.314351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No32c1,027$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.5624742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes65c1,000$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.7819645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5231…1f75backed Yes64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6401154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0db4…cc65backed No35c800.21$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…6e48backed Yes64c800$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No39c720.51$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.518748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No28c686.05$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.9613232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed No36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3203056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked No41c472.52$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.521060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4e0…b310backed Yes65c462.74$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed No27c456.74$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.31838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes71c442.85$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.95455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes65c396.1$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.1313847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed No39c390.87$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.792540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes64c390$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.63360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked No36c390$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.62020%4 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes67c366.49$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.4710931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked No36c349.92$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9511036.4%40 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f7…9385backed Yes64c341.72$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+66.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes65c328.35$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7912036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Yes63c328.03$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.66944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed Yes74c292$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.083458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Yes61c254.1$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552931%9 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes67c229.44$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1543941%16 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Yes67c223.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+72.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked Yes60c177.87$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.728653.5%46 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004045%18 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes62c149$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.384233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes67c141.71$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38d1…8eb2backed Yes63c140$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.21827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6103…3b6bbacked No33c139.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3b…e948backed Yes62c131.45$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1645…47a0backed Yes62c130.65$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe939…2af4backed Yes55c130$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.13132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3210…327ebacked Yes80c114.26$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Yes65c111$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.152948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x208d…362dbacked Yes69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b64…9832backed Yes66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes62c99.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.995518.2%10 W · 45 L-10.3wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No33c99.97$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.989752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfad…ede2backed Yes65c99.23$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d5…9d30backed Yes64c99.22$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f6…f6c3backed Yes61c99.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ba…f362backed No40c98.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3263…91a0backed No37c98.65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7569…79ebbacked Yes61c95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9550%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No38c93.44$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9313843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be1…038bbacked No38c93.42$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0a…fc1cbacked No36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8a…ebd9backed Yes57c78.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e21…4d75backed Yes62c77.87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.283250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ee…6c29backed Yes65c76.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae6f…7399backed Yes67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08fd…5ca7backed Yes67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes66c54.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.113139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x578a…ef44backed Yes57c50.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a9b…1770backed No35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+86.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcbd8…6053backed Yes65c49.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-45.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bff…15a7backed Yes65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes67c44.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf265…348dbacked Yes67c44.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No44c44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.644562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4338…b376backed Yes56c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.641040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4442…d5c1backed No37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.541369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+43.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes69c36.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254040%16 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes53c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0217048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Yes62c30.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194969.4%34 W · 15 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8ea4…e097backed Yes66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3429…7dd4backed Yes66c30.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.88714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-76.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Yes75c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.420%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4057…03b6backed Yes61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e70…9047backed No36c29.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c4…a877backed Yes67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-58%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x15e6…456ebacked Yes62c29.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41bd…6614backed Yes67c28.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe176…e60dbacked Yes80c28.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes69c27.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Yes65c26.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea69…26dabacked No40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f8…17dbbacked Yes66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd46…e7d3backed Yes66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e3…e04fbacked Yes66c21.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e8…2688backed Yes62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.42157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b5…a6b5backed Yes66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc9…3b7abacked Yes80c18.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf1e…9b17backed Yes64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.