NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb84d4f39c72f7c60d9065942f7fc5810d87cfaf5068244ac1ff46cda98cf698f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Thunder | 64c | 3,945$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.71 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Nuggets | 3c | 2,782$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Thunder | 44c | 2,546$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.67 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Thunder | 63c | 2,307$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.26 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b1…ff78backed Nuggets | 66c | 2,289$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Thunder | 44c | 2,259$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.97 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Nuggets | 31c | 1,724$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.41 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6a…596fbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,655$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Nuggets | 37c | 1,650$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 30c | 1,071$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.63 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Thunder | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 971.71$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.17 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…003abacked Nuggets | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Nuggets | 3c | 888.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Nuggets | 38c | 760.53$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 750.14$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…15dabacked Thunder | 68c | 659.58$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Thunder | 77c | 650.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1c…5386backed Nuggets | 54c | 640.7$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…2032backed Thunder | 40c | 620.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.2 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 69c | 601.04$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.64 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nuggets | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Nuggets | 42c | 568.58$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.85 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Nuggets | 55c | 566$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.3 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…5576backed Thunder | 46c | 459.21$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.97 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +85%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…611dbacked Thunder | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Nuggets | 43c | 412.19$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Thunder | 66c | 401.27$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.72 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8107…e0e6backed Nuggets | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Thunder | 46c | 395.53$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8767…a37fbacked Nuggets | 56c | 374.48$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.79 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc8…35aebacked Nuggets | 36c | 343.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nuggets | 12c | 335.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Nuggets | 57c | 322$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.42 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…2a0cbacked Thunder | 65c | 321.2$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.92 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Nuggets | 37c | 301$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…3d33backed Nuggets | 55c | 272.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…fcb2backed Nuggets | 54c | 272.72$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aac…46a0backed Nuggets | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nuggets | 30c | 265.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Nuggets | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Nuggets | 13c | 225$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Thunder | 48c | 208.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Nuggets | 8c | 200.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nuggets | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked Nuggets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Thunder | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked Nuggets | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Thunder | 44c | 199.94$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Nuggets | 55c | 197.33$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Thunder | 46c | 197.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Nuggets | 34c | 192.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…8714backed Nuggets | 57c | 185.75$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Thunder | 44c | 156.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.44 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Nuggets | 66c | 155.81$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.83 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Thunder | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Nuggets | 38c | 144.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Nuggets | 39c | 140.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…498dbacked Nuggets | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 125$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe1…5677backed Nuggets | 32c | 120.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…6f1abacked Nuggets | 68c | 118.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb640…e0d5backed Thunder | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4998…a8d7backed Thunder | 46c | 107.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Thunder | 45c | 103.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Thunder | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…bdbabacked Thunder | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd821…5365backed Nuggets | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…0e56backed Thunder | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Thunder | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Nuggets | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0760…c72ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…a5dabacked Nuggets | 57c | 84.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…36babacked Thunder | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…b5a0backed Nuggets | 66c | 72.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…918bbacked Nuggets | 43c | 70.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1f40backed Thunder | 46c | 69.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…9311backed Thunder | 48c | 66.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5125…3f72backed Thunder | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…43f9backed Nuggets | 56c | 64.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…15dbbacked Nuggets | 70c | 64.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…9667backed Thunder | 46c | 61.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Nuggets | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…362dbacked Nuggets | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…c994backed Thunder | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269d…e0c2backed Thunder | 47c | 53.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Thunder | 47c | 53.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…5d53backed Nuggets | 39c | 51.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…4571backed Nuggets | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2558…9acebacked Nuggets | 56c | 49.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb9…840bbacked Thunder | 47c | 48.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d2…0d35backed Thunder | 47c | 47.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed Nuggets | 54c | 46.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -9.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7235…501bbacked Nuggets | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Nuggets | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Thunder | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.