NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81d58e9c958312c84af48fa5eababb66842f9ae75923ae6b3510730770fbf27b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Kings | 56c | 17,747$9,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,893.72 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Kings | 53c | 12,378$6,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,504.98 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 9,579$4,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,337.37 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…b7edbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 9,011$4,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,672.88 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Timberwolves | 47c | 7,483$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,982.36 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b1…ff78backed Timberwolves | 54c | 5,966$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings | 48c | 4,648$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.64 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…15dabacked Timberwolves | 48c | 3,080$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 40c | 3,000$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Kings | 49c | 2,293$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.52 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,130$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.05 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Timberwolves | 54c | 2,002$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.77 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 1,943$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,557$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.75 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…6fbabacked Timberwolves | 18c | 1,373$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +449.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…cc65backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,147$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Kings | 44c | 1,100$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Kings | 60c | 1,072$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.99 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x892d…89a0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,048$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Kings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…1a3abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…9c35backed Kings | 49c | 999.95$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Kings | 52c | 995.71$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.66 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…003abacked Timberwolves | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…7afebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 903.68$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.23 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Kings | 50c | 886.15$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.45 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Kings | 50c | 831.93$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.97 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 785.81$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.62 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…7d56backed Timberwolves | 66c | 746.77$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Kings | 28c | 729.06$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.29 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…bbb8backed Timberwolves | 38c | 654.57$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Kings | 47c | 616.59$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…2a0cbacked Kings | 55c | 602.12$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Timberwolves | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Kings | 34c | 573.57$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.13 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Timberwolves | 64c | 566.48$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.03 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Timberwolves | 51c | 556.84$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.85 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…bbfabacked Kings | 48c | 529.97$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.39 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 430.43$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…8669backed Timberwolves | 71c | 400$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Kings | 62c | 380.95$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Timberwolves | 41c | 373.47$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.05 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc8…35aebacked Kings | 55c | 363.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4e95backed Timberwolves | 43c | 342.91$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.38 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Kings | 80c | 313.64$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.91 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Kings | 69c | 312.27$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.77 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Kings | 61c | 300.41$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.25 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed Timberwolves | 52c | 280$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 263.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.65 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Timberwolves | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Kings | 9c | 249.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d35…7178backed Timberwolves | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2335…d7d5backed Timberwolves | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…dd4cbacked Kings | 47c | 199$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Timberwolves | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings | 48c | 190.86$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.51 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Timberwolves | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 185$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Timberwolves | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebd…b9b1backed Timberwolves | 52c | 177.1$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Timberwolves | 53c | 169.79$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Timberwolves | 32c | 158.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Kings | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Timberwolves | 59c | 138.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Kings | 31c | 121.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Timberwolves | 38c | 120$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…362dbacked Kings | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…4515backed Timberwolves | 52c | 112.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Timberwolves | 37c | 101.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Kings | 55c | 100.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…0266backed Kings | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Kings | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0760…c72ebacked Kings | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586c…f6abbacked Kings | 41c | 97.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb640…e0d5backed Timberwolves | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…1c70backed Timberwolves | 35c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef79…96dcbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 88.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Kings | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed1…fa8dbacked Timberwolves | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…33b4backed Timberwolves | 65c | 79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…7a61backed Timberwolves | 73c | 77.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…6dbebacked Kings | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Kings | 48c | 67.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…95bfbacked Kings | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161d…6492backed Timberwolves | 55c | 66.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Kings | 27c | 65.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Timberwolves | 48c | 65.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Timberwolves | 52c | 64.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…2bd3backed Timberwolves | 52c | 62.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd59f…33e8backed Timberwolves | 69c | 59.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…b5a0backed Kings | 72c | 51.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Kings | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 293 | 55.3%162 W · 131 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Timberwolves | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d0…8a75backed Timberwolves | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 49.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Timberwolves | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd941…a1d0backed Timberwolves | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.