NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdc06caa3e16f7a140645faf68dcda4668b979c4ccfd6a570a8b1e3649cc4e20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Bucks, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bucks | 40c | 10,587$4,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,185.62 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Cavaliers | 72c | 7,745$5,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.61 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Cavaliers | 79c | 6,126$4,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.07 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bucks | 30c | 5,290$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.63 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…822ebacked Cavaliers | 77c | 3,896$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bucks | 30c | 3,352$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.57 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cavaliers | 77c | 2,748$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.07 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Bucks | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Bucks | 31c | 1,995$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.03 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,640$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.69 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5063…9826backed Bucks | 31c | 1,617$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Bucks | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…2a0cbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 1,470$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.58 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 1,460$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Cavaliers | 71c | 1,368$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.7 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Bucks | 32c | 1,059$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.22 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Bucks | 11c | 1,020$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Bucks | 22c | 1,009$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.65 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bucks | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Cavaliers | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 998.34$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.52 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Bucks | 30c | 970.19$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…60e3backed Bucks | 13c | 906.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…ccb1backed Cavaliers | 75c | 824.99$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Cavaliers | 70c | 799.33$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.8 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Bucks | 28c | 774.16$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Cavaliers | 70c | 758.99$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.92 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Bucks | 42c | 714$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.47 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Bucks | 44c | 677.27$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…dd68backed Cavaliers | 33c | 608.55$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cavaliers | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Bucks | 26c | 500$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Cavaliers | 77c | 479.6$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…3087backed Cavaliers | 71c | 455.36$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bucks | 7c | 448.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Bucks | 23c | 435$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Bucks | 29c | 431.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Bucks | 12c | 430.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…ac2bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 397.82$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 37cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bucks | 27c | 369.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…3cffbacked Bucks | 31c | 323.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…28e5backed Bucks | 76c | 315.1$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Bucks | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf063…a4f2backed Bucks | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Bucks | 24c | 283.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5433…0d50backed Cavaliers | 80c | 263.82$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2eb…f1b0backed Bucks | 29c | 260$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77e…d303backed Cavaliers | 61c | 259.28$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed Cavaliers | 71c | 258.98$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Bucks | 18c | 229.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…5e8dbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 217.67$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea30…0833backed Bucks | 24c | 212.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…bbfabacked Cavaliers | 70c | 204$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Bucks | 31c | 200.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Bucks | 25c | 200.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 200.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Cavaliers | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Cavaliers | 36c | 200$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Cavaliers | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Cavaliers | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab5…d611backed Cavaliers | 32c | 157.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd929…5bbebacked Bucks | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Cavaliers | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcb…8f77backed Bucks | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Cavaliers | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff1…2597backed Cavaliers | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…425bbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 136.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…ebbcbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 132.03$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 27c | 131.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.19 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Bucks | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Bucks | 22c | 115.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…fb70backed Bucks | 74c | 109.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Bucks | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…a884backed Bucks | 29c | 101.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Cavaliers | 62c | 101.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Bucks | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Cavaliers | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc325…c87fbacked Bucks | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…21b6backed Bucks | 28c | 99.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…bdfabacked Bucks | 63c | 84.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f32…8463backed Bucks | 24c | 84.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fd…7e92backed Cavaliers | 71c | 83.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 53cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8b…56d0backed Cavaliers | 76c | 82.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Bucks | 27c | 76.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…bbb8backed Bucks | 40c | 74.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…3bdbbacked Cavaliers | 78c | 72.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…116bbacked Bucks | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…bcbcbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…1c70backed Bucks | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe680…8788backed Bucks | 28c | 69.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Cavaliers | 71c | 69.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c3…9376backed Bucks | 32c | 63.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Cavaliers | 80c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.