TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Lakers, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,690

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc6d2…cfb1backed Lakers63c35,320$22,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,399.72254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Suns61c22,265$13,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,715.7947656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Suns62c16,255$10,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,104.399248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Suns53c14,513$7,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,830.9465642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Lakers37c9,773$3,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,578.5322832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe51…3982backed Lakers42c8,405$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,549.974517.8%8 W · 37 L-8.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-51.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Suns76c5,519$4,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.0370147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Lakers26c5,498$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.143732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Lakers61c4,009$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9910058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Suns36c3,616$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.7961532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed Suns72c3,253$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.323745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Suns49c2,967$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.0953134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Lakers37c2,485$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.5133752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns47c2,280$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.531,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Suns37c2,117$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.0127939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed Suns31c1,685$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.684729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaea…30aabacked Suns64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5402100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f78…10fabacked Lakers37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Lakers66c1,500$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.984045%18 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff4…7ebbbacked Lakers38c1,458$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Lakers39c1,200$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.9913857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Suns48c1,033$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.3316553.9%89 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Lakers40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5be…8728backed Lakers39c991.69$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.762236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6967…1986backed Lakers30c988.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed Lakers41c984.66$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.714257.1%24 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+70.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Suns59c941.47$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.798436.9%31 W · 53 L-10.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3b6d…ec40backed Lakers44c900$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4258…b969backed Lakers42c900$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3782240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd10…0d30backed Lakers25c846.67$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa26e…c212backed Lakers35c750$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.621827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked Lakers48c716.69$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.011435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Suns48c706.16$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.1627041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Suns42c703.7$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.5118316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c8…e7acbacked Lakers38c671.05$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2553652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b4…e0febacked Lakers40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504045%18 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Suns61c620.9$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.348347%39 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a9…36bbbacked Lakers40c614.45$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.121127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc46…35f3backed Suns40c560$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+152.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Lakers37c553.1$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.656955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c5…0544backed Lakers39c525.69$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.022540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b9…f457backed Lakers41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Lakers39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Suns44c500$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.1418437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Suns57c470$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.17953.2%42 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers43c465.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf65e…3850backed Suns35c463.84$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.1424336.2%88 W · 155 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3195…a94fbacked Suns49c435.08$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.89850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Suns38c432.58$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.911719.7%23 W · 94 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Lakers37c399.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14812247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e1b…a139backed Lakers64c356.05$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Lakers37c355$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9536843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Lakers45c353$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.578547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Suns53c335.83$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1216443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89a5…4908backed Lakers49c322.88$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Lakers58c319.52$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.2719137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x563b…774bbacked Suns64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab74…3996backed Lakers42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1263823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a52…e373backed Lakers38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Lakers72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008537.6%32 W · 53 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa3b5…4de3backed Lakers38c274.09$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.94540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78da…9d47backed Lakers60c273.91$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.236851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa90…2be3backed Suns68c269.78$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.331060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49dd…7044backed Lakers51c264.53$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Suns54c262.52$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.682560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Lakers39c260$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.46746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f52…0380backed Lakers70c255.35$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.742055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd3…3c5abacked Suns61c247.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.481625%4 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x955f…17d4backed Suns38c200$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Suns48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10414852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c7…053ebacked Lakers37c199.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.993342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3ed…0bb4backed Lakers40c199.82$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.95333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dc…9661backed Lakers53c189.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008658.1%50 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…6267backed Lakers53c187.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc9…3b7abacked Lakers14c180.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8369…3c94backed Suns77c174.32$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.326547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b0…9da7backed Lakers54c168.8$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.445257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Suns61c164.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4615149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Lakers24c160$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe976…dab5backed Suns49c151.85$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.43850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x256a…1c70backed Lakers14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215939%23 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Lakers37c149.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9958754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Lakers43c148$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6414233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a09…335dbacked Lakers39c140.97$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.984452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90f6…b4afbacked Lakers56c138.91$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9857…be38backed Lakers36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503844.7%17 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd31d…a81cbacked Lakers78c135$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd458…b4cdbacked Lakers45c134.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Lakers56c134$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4434644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f0…5effbacked Lakers39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47fa…4bbebacked Lakers44c126.29$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.572254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Suns50c121.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4636449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61fb…e089backed Suns41c121.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.862240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f18…9536backed Suns61c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cec…1e3dbacked Lakers52c106.29$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.461850%9 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x778a…1a6dbacked Lakers39c102.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.992152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Lakers40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406547.7%31 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaeab…7afebacked Suns40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Suns38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6277437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9bb…00c4backed Lakers40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+84.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.