College Football · resolved market
Will Texas beat Oklahoma?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeec7c9d1aa0d1a0c5abad082876c6766140b45f5cb7b3cf57f605e0759aa148d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texasof Texas, Oklahoma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Oklahoma | 19c | 5,247$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Oklahoma | 13c | 4,633$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.69 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Oklahoma | 5c | 2,267$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Oklahoma | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Oklahoma | 12c | 1,292$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.24 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked Oklahoma | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a91…65a6backed Oklahoma | 15c | 666.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221b…a4fabacked Oklahoma | 15c | 558.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…0db1backed Oklahoma | 15c | 324.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Texas | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d4…a96bbacked Oklahoma | 4c | 287.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Oklahoma | 13c | 249.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6f…928fbacked Oklahoma | 10c | 198.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5706…44acbacked Oklahoma | 12c | 188.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Oklahoma | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…4b94backed Oklahoma | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Oklahoma | 14c | 149.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Texas | 10c | 146.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +988.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Oklahoma | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Oklahoma | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Oklahoma | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked Texas | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Texas beat Oklahoma?this page
- Will Texas and Oklahoma combine for 49 or more points?Under won
- Will Texas beat Oklahoma by 15 or more points?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.