TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Notre Dame vs. Miami

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miamiof Notre Dame, Miami
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$980,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,052,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $980,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b9…6124backed Miami42c189,322$80,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,305.3734250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Notre Dame57c183,219$104,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,562.071145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Notre Dame58c79,019$45,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,831.172347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x120e…5986backed Miami43c71,100$30,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,604.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Miami54c27,046$14,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,339.3868440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Notre Dame38c25,722$9,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,875.56838.2%26 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Miami42c20,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,6001850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Miami42c20,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,599.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Miami42c19,722$8,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,438.7415539.4%61 W · 94 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Miami53c18,345$9,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,547.951668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Notre Dame58c17,167$9,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,957.021172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Notre Dame58c14,324$8,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,308.923342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Notre Dame46c14,273$6,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,534.571338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Miami62c13,443$8,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,146.6716635.5%59 W · 107 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3413…2657backed Notre Dame58c12,519$7,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,261.2380%0 W · 8 L-4.2wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Miami52c11,583$6,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,560.012330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Notre Dame8c8,181$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.392548%12 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Miami42c8,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,639.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Miami46c7,610$3,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,101.048149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Miami66c7,412$4,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.5886243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Notre Dame13c5,538$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.6430949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Notre Dame26c5,253$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.373850%19 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Notre Dame41c5,174$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Miami76c5,066$3,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.867929.1%23 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Miami42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9002152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Notre Dame29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4501338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Miami55c4,956$2,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.5717048.2%82 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Notre Dame58c4,800$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,78419849%97 W · 101 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d3d…35d0backed Miami43c4,186$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,386.052450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Notre Dame58c4,137$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Miami79c4,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8503762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Notre Dame37c3,686$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.016835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Notre Dame18c3,663$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.3223751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Miami43c2,988$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.254146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Miami42c2,932$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.7211735.9%42 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89f8…3a79backed Notre Dame44c2,893$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-71.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Notre Dame17c2,673$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.415334%18 W · 35 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ec2…69fdbacked Notre Dame29c2,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.9wins-0.45per pick54cpaid-88.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Miami70c2,491$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.8115451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Notre Dame30c2,173$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.8855350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Notre Dame24c2,142$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9957144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Notre Dame11c2,000$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.864868.8%33 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Miami42c1,951$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.2449443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8385…05ebbacked Miami75c1,950$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Notre Dame22c1,851$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.781330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Notre Dame58c1,826$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.283036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-40.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Notre Dame58c1,725$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.6930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Notre Dame19c1,705$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.82540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick16cpaid+86.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae6a…faf4backed Notre Dame59c1,702$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick55cpaid-75.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Notre Dame58c1,694$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.968348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Notre Dame18c1,640$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.3264841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Notre Dame25c1,442$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.1410851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Miami43c1,427$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.694654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Notre Dame58c1,379$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.991631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Notre Dame12c1,330$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8126750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Miami42c1,250$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72516747.9%80 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Notre Dame7c1,184$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9824229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Miami43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Miami42c1,159$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.3419043.2%82 W · 108 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Notre Dame58c1,143$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Notre Dame3c1,111$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.222370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Notre Dame59c1,111$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.4929351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Miami42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5809843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Miami42c957.74$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.496450%32 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe973…7338backed Notre Dame55c947$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Miami45c933$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Miami43c900$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5131471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+82.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Notre Dame57c877.37$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d7…7ad5backed Notre Dame58c850$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc567…04bfbacked Miami43c846.37$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.432615.4%4 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-60.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xffc3…8fffbacked Miami44c814.87$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Notre Dame8c800$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+600.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Miami42c799.98$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Miami44c792.31$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.311625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Miami51c778.16$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.98078.8%63 W · 17 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Notre Dame14c749.39$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.09742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e71…3838backed Notre Dame14c714.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002425%6 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Notre Dame58c710$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.810242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf455…195bbacked Miami43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Miami76c690.99$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.996170.5%43 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Notre Dame58c684.99$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.294942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Miami45c679.98$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.792166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+56.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Notre Dame51c634.2$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa826…f823backed Notre Dame47c600$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Notre Dame58c566.81$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.97540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd956…ea37backed Notre Dame55c541.4$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.771361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Notre Dame47c527$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.041866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Notre Dame57c518$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.786541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb32b…0ea7backed Notre Dame40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf19…ca28backed Notre Dame16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Miami41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2954562.2%28 W · 17 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+53.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8c40…ea3dbacked Miami42c499.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Notre Dame10c462.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.83119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Notre Dame45c459.87$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9612857%73 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Miami45c445.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9822437.5%84 W · 140 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cbf…4665backed Miami45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.44825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+526.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41f…e827backed Notre Dame58c443$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.94666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Miami68c438.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.323265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94db…55f5backed Notre Dame22c420.03$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Notre Dame34c410.07$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.572454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.