College Football · resolved market
Will UCF beat BYU?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda21431437b7485159d639befee6e1c6c8cac277caf8de10fae404d51f9bbe95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYUof UCF, BYU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed UCF | 32c | 1,411$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.29 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed UCF | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked BYU | 61c | 1,194$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.43 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed BYU | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked BYU | 64c | 703.76$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.76 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed UCF | 52c | 429.01$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed BYU | 48c | 420.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.15 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked UCF | 53c | 399.77$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.88 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed UCF | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed UCF | 53c | 177.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked UCF | 51c | 148.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed BYU | 42c | 129.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed UCF | 58c | 117.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed BYU | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed BYU | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed UCF | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed BYU | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938a…a941backed BYU | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed BYU | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked BYU | 64c | 30.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.