College Football · resolved market
Will Alabama beat Tennessee?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe19cacabbfec26ce4048f557bcf59f6e239a2bf4c24d58b96e70e815741f1cef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennesseeof Alabama, Tennessee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21e7…5e93backed Alabama | 0c | 39,988$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Alabama | 51c | 6,369$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.69 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Tennessee | 78c | 4,224$3,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.01 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Tennessee | 37c | 3,985$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.64 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Tennessee | 41c | 3,104$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.96 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Tennessee | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Alabama | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cf…c952backed Alabama | 72c | 1,673$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Alabama | 40c | 1,500$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tennessee | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Alabama | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…c814backed Tennessee | 42c | 721.78$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Tennessee | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Tennessee | 41c | 560.89$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.02 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Alabama | 61c | 491.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Tennessee | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…21a8backed Alabama | 68c | 474.35$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Alabama | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd999…24c4backed Alabama | 70c | 310$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…e38abacked Alabama | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbd…3c7abacked Alabama | 76c | 261.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Tennessee | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed Alabama | 61c | 242.97$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.21 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Alabama | 60c | 205$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Tennessee | 40c | 205$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Tennessee | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0db…b117backed Tennessee | 69c | 199.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3730…6435backed Tennessee | 38c | 179.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Tennessee | 39c | 178.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…b94fbacked Tennessee | 65c | 170.04$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…1dfbbacked Alabama | 49c | 146.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed Tennessee | 41c | 144.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03da…7907backed Tennessee | 42c | 137$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Alabama | 22c | 132$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Tennessee | 42c | 125$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa45…0eb0backed Tennessee | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed Alabama | 48c | 120.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Tennessee | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Alabama | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Tennessee | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8028…df86backed Tennessee | 33c | 90$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Alabama | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…a83bbacked Tennessee | 70c | 76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0802…81cabacked Tennessee | 65c | 75.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…eee1backed Tennessee | 43c | 70.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486c…3d03backed Tennessee | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Alabama | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Tennessee | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Tennessee | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a9…2ac8backed Tennessee | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -71%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked Tennessee | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22e…c0aebacked Tennessee | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b3cbacked Tennessee | 48c | 40.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…0220backed Tennessee | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Alabama | 65c | 38.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…a526backed Alabama | 67c | 34.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc0…e009backed Alabama | 63c | 31.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a8…49aabacked Alabama | 53c | 29.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Alabama | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0355…4c8cbacked Alabama | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ab…8882backed Alabama | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f4…959cbacked Alabama | 57c | 24.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Alabama | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Alabama | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…fe5dbacked Tennessee | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Alabama | 62c | 16.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alabama beat Tennessee?this page
- Will Alabama beat Tennessee by 3 or more points?No won
- Will there be 57 or more combined points scored?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.