NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Jazz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c229453b14e8b8c117c0c0341655303cd5a71daba712d213d4abbdabcfe5125
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Jazz | 33c | 12,371$4,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,123.48 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Grizzlies | 78c | 3,191$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.19 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Jazz | 22c | 2,975$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.43 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Grizzlies | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked Grizzlies | 65c | 2,445$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.46 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Jazz | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6a…596fbacked Grizzlies | 72c | 1,428$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…8dadbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 1,158$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Grizzlies | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Jazz | 29c | 999.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Jazz | 44c | 920.41$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.98 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Grizzlies | 50c | 887.86$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.93 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…ccb1backed Grizzlies | 74c | 737.1$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.08 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…e82dbacked Grizzlies | 76c | 632.76$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…3a25backed Jazz | 21c | 518.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…5eacbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 517.26$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Grizzlies | 56c | 500$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Jazz | 15c | 476.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Grizzlies | 73c | 449.72$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.72 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz | 17c | 433.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Grizzlies | 60c | 419.18$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.67 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Jazz | 18c | 327.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…970ebacked Grizzlies | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Grizzlies | 76c | 254.74$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…a619backed Grizzlies | 60c | 230$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Jazz | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Grizzlies | 55c | 171.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Grizzlies | 71c | 167.1$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Grizzlies | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Grizzlies | 78c | 144.14$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Jazz | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…e78cbacked Jazz | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Grizzlies | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411d…4d96backed Grizzlies | 76c | 91.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…16c1backed Grizzlies | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Jazz | 28c | 58.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Jazz | 36c | 58.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…931cbacked Grizzlies | 77c | 50.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…dbc7backed Jazz | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…b755backed Grizzlies | 66c | 43.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 42.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Jazz | 44c | 42.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Jazz | 40c | 36.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked Grizzlies | 58c | 36.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed Grizzlies | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -9.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2558…9acebacked Grizzlies | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcb…68c0backed Grizzlies | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…36babacked Grizzlies | 58c | 17.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.