NFL · resolved market
Chargers vs. Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x174737c2e4303c514ce6da0af0f3bc666145994280ce3f7d60e9b4ed9288a53a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Chargers, Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Chargers | 59c | 9,222$5,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780.85 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Broncos | 42c | 6,430$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.56 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Chargers | 60c | 5,019$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.32 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Broncos | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Broncos | 40c | 4,299$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.7 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Broncos | 41c | 4,077$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.53 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Chargers | 64c | 3,052$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.1 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Broncos | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.96 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Chargers | 60c | 1,810$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…62e5backed Broncos | 42c | 1,338$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.96 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Broncos | 35c | 1,162$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.1 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Chargers | 59c | 1,054$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.99 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Broncos | 44c | 1,000$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.6 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Broncos | 40c | 865.62$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.25 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Chargers | 62c | 845.89$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.88 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked Broncos | 42c | 751.21$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.51 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…a574backed Broncos | 21c | 746.06$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.17 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Chargers | 58c | 745.67$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.62 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Broncos | 25c | 712$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Chargers | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Broncos | 42c | 507.26$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.19 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…0cf9backed Chargers | 59c | 474.58$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x367c…f5f5backed Broncos | 43c | 474.42$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…ba4abacked Broncos | 43c | 441.44$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.82 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Chargers | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Broncos | 29c | 415.37$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.29 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Chargers | 73c | 412.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Chargers | 61c | 403.69$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Chargers | 72c | 375$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.27 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84da…d068backed Chargers | 59c | 361.69$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7882…b86abacked Broncos | 10c | 360$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Chargers | 66c | 359.41$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Broncos | 40c | 334.31$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.73 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Broncos | 40c | 332.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Broncos | 40c | 331.31$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…e314backed Broncos | 44c | 304.55$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Broncos | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Broncos | 7c | 270$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…b7edbacked Broncos | 42c | 254.69$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Broncos | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Chargers | 59c | 244$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…a3c7backed Broncos | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Chargers | 60c | 228.33$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.33 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Broncos | 39c | 198$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Broncos | 17c | 197.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…2ae9backed Broncos | 11c | 190$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Chargers | 58c | 184.4$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.45 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Broncos | 39c | 179.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Chargers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Chargers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Broncos | 41c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Broncos | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked Chargers | 60c | 148.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Broncos | 25c | 137.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ed…0bb4backed Broncos | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Chargers | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Broncos | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Chargers | 61c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74e…c62bbacked Broncos | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a49…6681backed Broncos | 42c | 123.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Chargers | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…797fbacked Chargers | 60c | 105.02$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed Broncos | 32c | 100.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Broncos | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed Chargers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Broncos | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Chargers | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…2a1fbacked Chargers | 59c | 99.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Broncos | 39c | 99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfab…5d9dbacked Broncos | 42c | 98.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Chargers | 61c | 98.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…787bbacked Chargers | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Chargers | 59c | 79.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Broncos | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Chargers | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…4aecbacked Broncos | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…2c98backed Broncos | 41c | 51.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Chargers | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7173…7d75backed Broncos | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Chargers | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe1…5677backed Broncos | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a2…4ff7backed Chargers | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Broncos | 37c | 41.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec3…9209backed Chargers | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa45…0eb0backed Broncos | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26b…a830backed Broncos | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…edbfbacked Broncos | 37c | 33.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Chargers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…a34cbacked Chargers | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Broncos | 41c | 29.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked Chargers | 62c | 29.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Broncos | 40c | 28.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Chargers | 57c | 26.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…943ebacked Chargers | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…75e8backed Chargers | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…6f4fbacked Chargers | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Chargers | 80c | 19.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.