NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f8d91153de939c69f5c62aba32e83f3c32b8006b74d3a63dfb2e9b40fd13ed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Pelicans, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pelicans | 68c | 8,086$5,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,487.67 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Warriors | 36c | 6,113$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.55 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans | 52c | 5,872$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.64 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Pelicans | 55c | 3,775$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.4 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Pelicans | 57c | 3,211$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.79 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 24c | 3,080$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.4 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans | 44c | 2,898$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.69 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Warriors | 45c | 2,746$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.1 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Pelicans | 35c | 2,575$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.97 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Warriors | 48c | 2,240$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.79 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Warriors | 32c | 2,202$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Pelicans | 74c | 1,953$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.3 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Warriors | 25c | 1,615$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…5e93backed Warriors | 78c | 1,500$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Warriors | 73c | 1,362$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.75 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Warriors | 44c | 1,214$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.29 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…c212backed Warriors | 22c | 1,178$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…c635backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,115$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…bbfabacked Warriors | 47c | 1,115$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.93 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.7 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Pelicans | 52c | 999.97$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.98 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Warriors | 48c | 977.08$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.08 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Warriors | 47c | 960.42$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.42 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Warriors | 25c | 920.8$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.8 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…ec40backed Warriors | 45c | 880.85$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Pelicans | 16c | 857.76$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.74 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Pelicans | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Warriors | 33c | 741.79$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.55 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 45c | 690.85$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.79 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Pelicans | 13c | 648.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Pelicans | 49c | 646.63$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Pelicans | 37c | 640$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.43 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pelicans | 55c | 637.97$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.27 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x367c…f5f5backed Pelicans | 55c | 637.65$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…786dbacked Warriors | 49c | 632.78$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.78 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9cf8backed Warriors | 48c | 628.37$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.75 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f44…01fcbacked Warriors | 48c | 574.33$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…ee18backed Pelicans | 53c | 574.19$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Warriors | 39c | 567.75$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.54 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…5d02backed Warriors | 29c | 535.81$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4e95backed Warriors | 49c | 517.77$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.52 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d35…c1bcbacked Warriors | 63c | 478.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Warriors | 39c | 449.59$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.86 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…8728backed Warriors | 48c | 435.48$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.45 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Pelicans | 55c | 386.19$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.31 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans | 5c | 363.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…f580backed Warriors | 48c | 340$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0468…296dbacked Pelicans | 53c | 339$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…21b8backed Pelicans | 29c | 322.53$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Pelicans | 67c | 320.46$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.88 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Warriors | 34c | 300$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Warriors | 20c | 293.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.16 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Pelicans | 56c | 286.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Warriors | 47c | 283.41$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.75 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…e9fcbacked Warriors | 48c | 280$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd3…0419backed Pelicans | 54c | 277$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Warriors | 17c | 273.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.98 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Pelicans | 22c | 252.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…ff35backed Pelicans | 80c | 246.38$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a52…e373backed Pelicans | 54c | 239.36$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…f694backed Pelicans | 59c | 230.25$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Warriors | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…fa83backed Warriors | 47c | 217$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…5aeebacked Pelicans | 53c | 217$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…d057backed Warriors | 24c | 210$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +320%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…cfe4backed Pelicans | 50c | 204.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed Pelicans | 55c | 200.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Warriors | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c6c1backed Pelicans | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c32…4958backed Warriors | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Pelicans | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…a87fbacked Warriors | 27c | 200$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Pelicans | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dc…92e9backed Pelicans | 31c | 189.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…7a25backed Warriors | 45c | 185.89$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Pelicans | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pelicans | 56c | 179.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Pelicans | 54c | 175$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Warriors | 46c | 175$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bb…00c4backed Pelicans | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeab…7afebacked Pelicans | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Pelicans | 67c | 140$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…286ebacked Pelicans | 53c | 137.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…1bc7backed Warriors | 48c | 132.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…5d66backed Pelicans | 9c | 130.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Pelicans | 31c | 128.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Warriors | 45c | 118.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfc…476dbacked Pelicans | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Warriors | 46c | 109.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Pelicans | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 293 | 55.3%162 W · 131 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Warriors | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…17d4backed Pelicans | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Pelicans | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…3216backed Pelicans | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f52…0380backed Pelicans | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Warriors | 41c | 99.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…1c70backed Warriors | 49c | 99.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…d5c1backed Warriors | 43c | 95.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…0416backed Warriors | 34c | 95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…0f1fbacked Warriors | 72c | 90.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.