NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4684423d206bfe80be52a4d8aad06344b65881c8695e3a5d6c1881d673b6dae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Lakers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Grizzlies | 64c | 9,915$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525.2 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…165cbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 6,394$3,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 3,389$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.89 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Lakers | 40c | 3,125$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 38c | 2,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Lakers | 46c | 1,935$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.21 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…537abacked Grizzlies | 53c | 1,579$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c15…3c13backed Grizzlies | 63c | 1,170$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Grizzlies | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.24 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Lakers | 43c | 975.24$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.27 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833d…faedbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 868.12$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…40b6backed Lakers | 46c | 868$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 30c | 859.87$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.76 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lakers | 35c | 794.26$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.56 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…533bbacked Lakers | 41c | 779.64$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Lakers | 32c | 773.81$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Lakers | 38c | 734.62$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.53 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Lakers | 23c | 711.85$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.49 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lakers | 5c | 637$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Grizzlies | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb5…b1b4backed Lakers | 47c | 570.57$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Lakers | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Lakers | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Grizzlies | 61c | 499.98$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Lakers | 36c | 472.58$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Grizzlies | 50c | 463.44$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.98 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Grizzlies | 68c | 445.7$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.49 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545e…04c8backed Lakers | 44c | 413.13$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Lakers | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef7b…542fbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Grizzlies | 68c | 389.98$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.74 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 387.97$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.59 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…f468backed Grizzlies | 52c | 384.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.59 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Lakers | 33c | 359.92$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Lakers | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d4…c3ecbacked Lakers | 46c | 225$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57f…eb2fbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 225$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…fc95backed Lakers | 10c | 208.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Lakers | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Lakers | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…9ab5backed Lakers | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Grizzlies | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…9a18backed Lakers | 39c | 194.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 177.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…f625backed Lakers | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Lakers | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5433…0d50backed Lakers | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Grizzlies | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Lakers | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Lakers | 48c | 149.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0760…c72ebacked Lakers | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 139.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…5694backed Lakers | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Grizzlies | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…2112backed Grizzlies | 62c | 129.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…00c2backed Lakers | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…b7bcbacked Lakers | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Grizzlies | 50c | 117.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…1c70backed Lakers | 45c | 114.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…64f4backed Lakers | 50c | 109.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Lakers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…16abbacked Lakers | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Lakers | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 293 | 55.3%162 W · 131 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…ca19backed Lakers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +310.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479f…e623backed Lakers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Lakers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…f6febacked Lakers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…3290backed Grizzlies | 52c | 99.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…4beabacked Lakers | 49c | 98.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…7b67backed Grizzlies | 52c | 96.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c69…f0febacked Lakers | 44c | 95.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fc8bbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…27b4backed Lakers | 48c | 93.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…4e40backed Lakers | 56c | 88.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…6b8ebacked Lakers | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…ac22backed Grizzlies | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x367c…f5f5backed Grizzlies | 63c | 79.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…1a6dbacked Lakers | 40c | 71.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…f5e1backed Grizzlies | 53c | 70.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…62edbacked Lakers | 50c | 69.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…9905backed Lakers | 47c | 69.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…986ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…388ebacked Lakers | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ff…c139backed Lakers | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…efedbacked Lakers | 39c | 56.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…b460backed Grizzlies | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3f…9a8fbacked Lakers | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…0544backed Lakers | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1c…5d3fbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…5f92backed Grizzlies | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…1588backed Grizzlies | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…a343backed Lakers | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…1770backed Lakers | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…ef5bbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 46.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…23ddbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…ae8bbacked Lakers | 29c | 45.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Grizzlies | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.