NFL · resolved market
Colts vs. Steelers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e26117dc82f914260700a10b5e022cc1d570848b515158e625d0930945afe67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coltsof Colts, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Colts | 44c | 6,275$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,514.75 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Colts | 44c | 5,826$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Colts | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Steelers | 55c | 3,521$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.7 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Steelers | 21c | 3,464$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.38 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Colts | 46c | 3,248$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.82 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Steelers | 56c | 2,534$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.26 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Steelers | 53c | 2,427$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.33 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed Steelers | 56c | 2,273$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.71 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Steelers | 57c | 2,205$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Colts | 43c | 2,070$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.87 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Colts | 44c | 1,170$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.2 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Colts | 70c | 1,162$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.3 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ce…ab3abacked Colts | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Colts | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Colts | 47c | 974.87$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.09 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Steelers | 55c | 712.87$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.65 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…0218backed Colts | 46c | 699.97$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Steelers | 14c | 670.67$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Steelers | 8c | 633$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Colts | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28eb…fd31backed Steelers | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Colts | 44c | 555$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.33 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Steelers | 42c | 500$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Steelers | 56c | 401.47$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.82 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…0aeebacked Steelers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Steelers | 55c | 361.68$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.54 | 195 | 64.6%126 W · 69 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…a77cbacked Steelers | 57c | 351.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Steelers | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…82d9backed Colts | 46c | 343.67$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…c209backed Steelers | 54c | 343$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Steelers | 12c | 330.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked Steelers | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Steelers | 10c | 279.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Steelers | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Colts | 44c | 276.06$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.59 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…d93abacked Colts | 44c | 275$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…106dbacked Steelers | 56c | 230$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Steelers | 56c | 227$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Colts | 45c | 224$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Steelers | 56c | 219.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fe…e468backed Colts | 44c | 214.77$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Steelers | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Colts | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Steelers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…ba4abacked Steelers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…0874backed Steelers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Steelers | 15c | 168.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…afafbacked Steelers | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Steelers | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…e3b2backed Colts | 46c | 148.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966a…5dabbacked Colts | 44c | 136.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Steelers | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Steelers | 54c | 124.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…27e7backed Colts | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Colts | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Steelers | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Colts | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Steelers | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Colts | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…65cabacked Steelers | 56c | 99.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9312…2d4abacked Steelers | 56c | 99.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…de0ebacked Steelers | 56c | 99.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd1…3fc7backed Steelers | 56c | 99.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…1bb6backed Steelers | 56c | 99.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f3…ff03backed Steelers | 56c | 99.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa527…60fdbacked Colts | 45c | 98.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b77…0944backed Colts | 45c | 98.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bc…4787backed Colts | 45c | 98.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ba…1fbbbacked Colts | 45c | 98.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c1…d979backed Colts | 45c | 98.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…aea6backed Colts | 45c | 98.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed Steelers | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Steelers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…611dbacked Steelers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Steelers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…a04bbacked Steelers | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed Steelers | 33c | 79.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Steelers | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Steelers | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Steelers | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Colts | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…fe54backed Steelers | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Steelers | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Steelers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Steelers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Colts | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Steelers | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Steelers | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…83dbbacked Colts | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Steelers | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 254 | 53.9%137 W · 117 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…6802backed Steelers | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae25…bc16backed Steelers | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Colts | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…eee1backed Colts | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Steelers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f47…6851backed Steelers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…3fc6backed Steelers | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…7d5abacked Steelers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Colts | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.