College Football · resolved market
Will Rutgers beat Washington?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadda4879290f9b82aefe818f4ae02106990fa0cf77e4f0ff6c2070e75a7b1308
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rutgersof Rutgers, Washington
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Rutgers | 54c | 5,134$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.58 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Washington | 51c | 3,221$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.67 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Washington | 31c | 2,971$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.29 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Washington | 46c | 2,409$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Rutgers | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ce…ab3abacked Washington | 51c | 1,258$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Washington | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.06 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Rutgers | 53c | 982.54$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.01 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Washington | 39c | 880.69$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.04 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…ffcebacked Washington | 2c | 697.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.29per pick | 35cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Rutgers | 51c | 691.17$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab1…0256backed Washington | 49c | 647.95$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Washington | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Washington | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…50e2backed Rutgers | 56c | 410.71$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Washington | 50c | 400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Rutgers | 49c | 347.42$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Washington | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…52b9backed Rutgers | 64c | 168.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…5679backed Washington | 40c | 151.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Washington | 40c | 149.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…48c4backed Washington | 47c | 120.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Washington | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Washington | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Washington | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…03fcbacked Rutgers | 54c | 90.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Washington | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…34e7backed Washington | 48c | 61.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…42e1backed Rutgers | 55c | 60.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…83dbbacked Rutgers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Washington | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…a574backed Rutgers | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e4…1d1ebacked Washington | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…cbc1backed Rutgers | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rutgers beat Washington?this page
- Will Rutgers and Washington combine for 45 or more points?Under won
- Will Rutgers beat Washington by 3 or more points?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.