NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x956bbc7f51940894806fa817e72f29742b38da26d5f36ae73df52233d830c2c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Rockets | 49c | 199,117$98,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,869.53 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves | 51c | 82,562$41,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,934.32 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Timberwolves | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves | 51c | 26,824$13,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,680.09 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves | 50c | 24,000$12,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,119.97 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Timberwolves | 52c | 9,143$4,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,747.44 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Timberwolves | 51c | 8,604$4,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,388.09 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ad…5969backed Rockets | 47c | 5,413$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…bf84backed Rockets | 47c | 5,154$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 4,283$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Rockets | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Rockets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Timberwolves | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7357…6e08backed Rockets | 47c | 3,940$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6e…2a22backed Rockets | 47c | 3,844$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…9541backed Rockets | 46c | 3,767$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.18 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6289…faf5backed Rockets | 47c | 3,765$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabe…b7f8backed Rockets | 47c | 3,692$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets | 48c | 3,673$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.11 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87c…e05fbacked Rockets | 46c | 3,516$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Timberwolves | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,993$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.12 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 2,894$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.88 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Rockets | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0730…aaa0backed Rockets | 47c | 2,363$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 47c | 2,341$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.4 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,263$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.4 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c68…5609backed Rockets | 47c | 2,234$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 48c | 2,130$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…9d53backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,102$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…55b3backed Rockets | 49c | 2,099$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.49 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…9cfcbacked Rockets | 48c | 2,090$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7752backed Rockets | 47c | 2,041$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,028$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.28 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec4…7276backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,998$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d3…bf40backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,923$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…0230backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,785$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 41c | 1,747$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.75 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x527d…1d11backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,689$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…f224backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,630$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Rockets | 50c | 1,544$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b68…fd16backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,542$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…120cbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,495$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,482$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.57 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…ec04backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,456$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…5ffdbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,421$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf328…4ad1backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,410$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4811…02c3backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,398$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb51e…ea39backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,375$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f05…cf26backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,336$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd185…371ebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 1,324$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…0742backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,282$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…65c1backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,276$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1454…7581backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,268$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…300dbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,257$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…60d2backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,233$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,218$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.76 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…1d6bbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 1,187$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…3a70backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,150$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…bc1dbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,147$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Rockets | 48c | 1,145$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.01 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Timberwolves | 37c | 1,125$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.51 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…59b7backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,109$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed Rockets | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa4…7e7ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,098$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x337c…5b4bbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 1,078$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…ae73backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,049$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45e…42d3backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,005$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e6…7e59backed Timberwolves | 52c | 950$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Timberwolves | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2864backed Timberwolves | 53c | 781$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Rockets | 49c | 714$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0b…b8d2backed Timberwolves | 53c | 656$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Rockets | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Rockets | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…b597backed Timberwolves | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 28c | 446.69$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…bc2bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 419$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Timberwolves | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Rockets | 7c | 400$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Rockets | 50c | 396.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.92 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…bd40backed Rockets | 48c | 360.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.98 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Timberwolves | 52c | 348$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Rockets | 49c | 307$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Rockets | 9c | 300$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Rockets | 6c | 300$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281 | 85 | 12.9%11 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Timberwolves | 52c | 288.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed Rockets | 9c | 250$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Timberwolves | 79c | 248.58$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.38 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Timberwolves | 51c | 201.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Rockets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Timberwolves | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Rockets | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 85 | 11.8%10 W · 75 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99af…fedcbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 181.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Rockets | 50c | 156$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. RocketsRockets won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.