NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f434d50881db2477f37d5ce1854e48605d5fd7910fb24415bfcce186f3ca0ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets | 53c | 11,857$6,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,580.71 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves | 47c | 8,597$4,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.61 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rockets | 52c | 8,525$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 7,868$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,695.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Timberwolves | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Rockets | 53c | 5,800$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.87 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…70a0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,429$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5194…84d6backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,242$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…9d93backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,012$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…80c1backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,950$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3315…e722backed Rockets | 52c | 4,850$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Rockets | 50c | 4,264$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.14 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8b…e6c6backed Timberwolves | 49c | 3,786$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…300dbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 3,785$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…59b7backed Timberwolves | 48c | 3,749$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7746…7912backed Rockets | 52c | 3,643$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99cb…6c12backed Rockets | 51c | 3,612$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…3c7abacked Rockets | 52c | 3,254$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7898…ef88backed Timberwolves | 48c | 3,134$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…a2c1backed Rockets | 51c | 3,120$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b74…8f43backed Timberwolves | 48c | 3,103$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 3,070$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.47 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd53…fc2bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 2,920$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,907$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…6744backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,863$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…1ddcbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 2,805$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…7e16backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,560$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b40…4390backed Rockets | 52c | 2,543$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ff…f3f7backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,456$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…edd3backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,394$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…c3aabacked Rockets | 51c | 2,320$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…b291backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,153$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 2,111$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdd…133ebacked Rockets | 51c | 2,029$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…267bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,976$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…3a38backed Rockets | 52c | 1,950$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…e7edbacked Rockets | 52c | 1,915$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2118…0035backed Rockets | 52c | 1,812$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad4…9ab8backed Rockets | 52c | 1,738$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rockets | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…21dbbacked Rockets | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36e…6b0abacked Rockets | 52c | 1,589$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6c…a2bebacked Rockets | 51c | 1,574$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…5f06backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,567$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…a81bbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,553$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…ac56backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,553$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…d288backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,544$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2a…716abacked Rockets | 51c | 1,536$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e54…44f0backed Rockets | 51c | 1,533$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb321…ecf0backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,532$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7357…6e08backed Rockets | 52c | 1,489$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…2556backed Rockets | 52c | 1,476$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…7442backed Rockets | 52c | 1,439$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa745…c852backed Rockets | 52c | 1,387$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf328…4ad1backed Rockets | 52c | 1,359$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4578…85d2backed Rockets | 52c | 1,283$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Rockets | 52c | 1,275$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.87 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 53c | 1,259$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.75 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa4…7e7ebacked Rockets | 52c | 1,248$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f05…cf26backed Rockets | 52c | 1,203$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6289…faf5backed Rockets | 52c | 1,178$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71e3…f749backed Rockets | 52c | 1,170$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 52c | 1,146$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.42 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…7ef3backed Rockets | 52c | 1,124$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 58c | 1,102$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.36 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b43…2bcebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 1,088$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7d…bf77backed Rockets | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…120cbacked Rockets | 52c | 1,057$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…34f7backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,050$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…19e2backed Rockets | 51c | 1,032$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…547fbacked Rockets | 52c | 1,025$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Rockets | 53c | 939.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.5 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Rockets | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 833.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Timberwolves | 48c | 832.3$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.38 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675b…c9d7backed Rockets | 52c | 799$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…ab7bbacked Rockets | 52c | 707$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 50c | 667.58$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8606…831cbacked Rockets | 52c | 626$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…6706backed Rockets | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Timberwolves | 47c | 542.83$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.28 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets | 38c | 508.48$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.26 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Timberwolves | 46c | 500$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 65c | 489.88$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.13 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Rockets | 58c | 432.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.76 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…c851backed Rockets | 52c | 401$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…41f1backed Rockets | 52c | 401$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…ff25backed Rockets | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c95…437ebacked Rockets | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…3c91backed Rockets | 52c | 355$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…3d7fbacked Rockets | 52c | 302$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Timberwolves | 59c | 294.28$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.19 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 288.46$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b44…0c2bbacked Rockets | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Timberwolves | 47c | 254.45$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Timberwolves | 48c | 230$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Rockets | 43c | 227.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac5…fb4fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 198$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. RocketsRockets won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.