TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$269,195
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,195 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c174,490$88,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,920.3887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under49c100,000$49,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,00013248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4704…eddebacked Under50c25,991$12,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,995.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,2002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c16,496$7,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,914.542,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under49c11,111$5,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,666.6124554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Under52c10,400$5,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9925648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under52c8,626$4,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,146.553,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c8,268$4,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,196.149,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c7,863$3,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,980.583,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over50c6,002$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.9738253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00011351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd85…0230backed Over49c5,118$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,507.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b68…fd16backed Over49c5,107$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.43425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c4,956$2,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,344.891,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf328…4ad1backed Over49c4,034$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22f3…120cbacked Over49c3,748$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under50c3,046$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.9242648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c3,042$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.725,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c2,982$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.012,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c2,831$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.192,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ba…f224backed Under51c1,937$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x527d…1d11backed Under51c1,854$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.46425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d3…bf40backed Under51c1,746$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ad…5969backed Under51c1,653$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ec4…7276backed Under51c1,528$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebd9…bf84backed Under51c1,507$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefa4…7e7ebacked Under51c1,448$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7357…6e08backed Under51c1,394$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.06785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+67.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3da…300dbacked Under51c1,365$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb673…59b7backed Under51c1,282$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6289…faf5backed Under51c1,221$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.29580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f05…cf26backed Under51c1,072$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.28450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Over48c979.97$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.399733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under50c815.99$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.1728842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38484342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over48c613.98$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.711,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Over50c540$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2709655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc330…1667backed Under52c498.38$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.386253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c416.11$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.864,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under53c413.21$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2133447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2042,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over47c397.51$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.831,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0146…5ddebacked Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over49c277.61$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.62,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda14…8efdbacked Under52c184.87$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.41758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under50c167.62$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8117155.6%95 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under51c140.36$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7847856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd29…a74abacked Under53c137.74$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.742245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Over50c134$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7c0…6aa1backed Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick57cpaid+56.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Under53c109.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.434454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016546.1%76 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c101$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489452.1%49 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1520847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x922e…7d04backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.157746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under52c86.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5450351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over47c84.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1568940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8f5…bf3dbacked Over50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.53336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03b0…482cbacked Under52c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.65160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over28c61.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.193,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under49c61.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.071,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under49c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4688845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under53c54.72$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7262744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9713…8219backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252035%7 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfab5…2bb4backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.515347.1%72 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b71…b78dbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4636450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd8…3760backed Over48c36.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015355.6%85 W · 68 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c33.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Under49c33.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1714050.7%71 W · 69 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec89…8de0backed Under63c32.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.925860.3%35 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe438…d8adbacked Over60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over48c29.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9953043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…f2cabacked Over48c29.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.913534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-40.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8523051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under50c28.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.991,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Under50c26.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3132952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under50c25.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6724946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x414a…597ebacked Under52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under52c22.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89a4…5f78backed Under52c20.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1010053%53 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108235.4%29 W · 53 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1016942.6%72 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.