NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3378ea9a984f446c1e1f8c1ef309c8df7a60384b60f4898d85cf2913137b9a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Rockets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3ac…88c9backed Timberwolves | 57c | 11,813$6,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,079.62 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 43c | 7,688$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,328.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 43c | 5,387$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1454…7581backed Rockets | 43c | 3,989$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…ec04backed Rockets | 43c | 3,781$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45e…42d3backed Rockets | 43c | 3,765$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…5ffdbacked Rockets | 43c | 3,637$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Timberwolves | 55c | 3,486$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.62 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 44c | 2,179$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.92 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.99 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51e…ea39backed Timberwolves | 57c | 1,468$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x337c…5b4bbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 1,402$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd185…371ebacked Timberwolves | 57c | 1,380$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6e…2a22backed Timberwolves | 57c | 1,348$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…ae73backed Timberwolves | 57c | 1,327$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…9541backed Timberwolves | 57c | 1,284$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…1d6bbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 1,256$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…bc1dbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 1,226$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabe…b7f8backed Timberwolves | 57c | 1,194$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87c…e05fbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 1,129$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…60d2backed Timberwolves | 57c | 1,095$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…65c1backed Timberwolves | 57c | 1,063$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 45c | 966.86$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.09 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Rockets | 43c | 869.77$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Timberwolves | 68c | 532.44$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.44 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…b1efbacked Rockets | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets | 32c | 372.45$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.57 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Rockets | 43c | 307$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.51 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Rockets | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 11.8%10 W · 75 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed Timberwolves | 68c | 296.33$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rockets | 44c | 290.52$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Rockets | 5c | 215.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Timberwolves | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…1f12backed Timberwolves | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Rockets | 63c | 139$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Rockets | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Rockets | 43c | 89.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Timberwolves | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rockets | 51c | 68.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Rockets | 44c | 56.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets | 44c | 51.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Timberwolves | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Rockets | 39c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Rockets | 71c | 43.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Rockets | 46c | 43.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…128fbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Rockets | 42c | 37.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Timberwolves | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Rockets | 44c | 32.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 31.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Rockets | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d2…5614backed Timberwolves | 77c | 27.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
- Timberwolves vs. RocketsRockets won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.