TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$586,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$588,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $586,393 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over54c372,016$200,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200,718.6687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Under46c250,000$115,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135,0002552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed Under51c100,000$51,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,00017031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over49c81,231$39,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,803.071,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under46c75,000$34,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,50013248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c42,352$20,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,978.92,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,599.9938253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c15,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,1002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c12,771$6,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,674.913,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4704…eddebacked Under47c12,766$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,765.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under51c11,765$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,764.7133447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c10,590$4,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,644.699,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under50c9,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5002759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Under49c8,400$4,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,288.047468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c7,000$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,639.971,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over52c5,229$2,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7183,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5502138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under49c4,842$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,465.5341649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over51c4,660$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.665750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Over52c4,600$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.994548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd11c…43e8backed Under47c3,947$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c3,475$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8034,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under47c3,447$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.8111351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62556453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62529347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Under51c2,280$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.3912454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c2,126$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.55,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c1,631$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.371,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over51c1,225$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62540451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under48c1,184$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.4651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c1,123$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52016053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51017953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Under52c830.86$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.813070%21 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42425951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under50c745.18$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.5924045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e2…e342backed Under49c739$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.89837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5740…4179backed Over52c731.88$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.581060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…fb3abacked Over52c724.77$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.881241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d04…62aabacked Under49c717.37$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.861675%12 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb30b…3419backed Over53c714.47$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.671330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec43…a48abacked Under48c702.77$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.41526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-47.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb010…9b6dbacked Under49c700.08$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.041145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under47c700$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3681,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf09…d342backed Over52c693.35$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.54911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-82.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaafd…6fd2backed Over52c681.38$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.32850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4465…ffa4backed Under49c674.43$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.961030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4584…8959backed Over52c657.69$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27a7…4906backed Under49c644.27$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.58955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c612$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.122,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under49c563.04$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.3827051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd098…8c03backed Under47c556.36$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.872070%14 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+30.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Under49c515$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.6530351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30062347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under47c475.1$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.7228842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x961a…73acbacked Under47c450$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.5887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick48cpaid+77.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5315543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under48c417.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.731,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under47c404.26$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2642648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21259144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over51c392.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022646.9%106 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Under48c350$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18216549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca5…85edbacked Over53c319.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.592347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked Over53c301.89$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under48c300.56$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2987453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under47c298.98$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.4640146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c297.9$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.482,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over50c297.63$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7947349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Over50c282.35$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over47c272.43$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.111650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under48c243.68$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.181,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Under47c234.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0416945.6%77 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over50c227.61$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9468940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Over62c211.01$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13034050.3%171 W · 169 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3312650%63 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3310351.5%53 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0865649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9878652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461b…ca27backed Under53c189.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.62540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over51c159.71$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4533554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over51c143$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.931,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Under49c140.82$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8228949.1%142 W · 147 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x871b…b344backed Under50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7050351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under48c125.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4317155.6%95 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under49c121.21$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8253149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aab…d612backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2696…c031backed Over50c110$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.56149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under42c108.57$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.711,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5117447.7%83 W · 91 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x773b…1b80backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4025056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x557d…4ffebacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…7693backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5025846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.