NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f77683e339467b85779fcf333ab965ff2a47eb9182f885c16429df4ffce1734
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 56c | 25,869$14,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,468.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 46c | 13,796$6,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,434.02 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 46c | 10,066$4,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,433.2 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 9,522$3,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.85 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 3,664$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.8 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Rockets | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.99 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets | 34c | 2,392$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.8 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 60c | 2,168$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Rockets | 59c | 2,036$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.76 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rockets | 59c | 1,950$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.5 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Rockets | 58c | 1,855$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.93 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Rockets | 50c | 1,550$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rockets | 60c | 1,419$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.47 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 43c | 1,415$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Rockets | 50c | 588$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.79 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Timberwolves | 60c | 330$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 40c | 330$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Timberwolves | 56c | 294.5$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.01 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Rockets | 42c | 190.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Rockets | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Rockets | 41c | 147.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Timberwolves | 41c | 117.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Timberwolves | 55c | 77.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…ad3cbacked Rockets | 61c | 70.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Rockets | 80c | 68.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Timberwolves | 20c | 68.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Rockets | 46c | 65.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Rockets | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 57.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 49c | 42.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Rockets | 46c | 40.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Rockets | 60c | 40.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…4375backed Rockets | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rockets | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Rockets | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Rockets | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Rockets | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Rockets | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Timberwolves | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…1ae2backed Rockets | 58c | 21.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…2308backed Rockets | 58c | 19.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…617fbacked Rockets | 58c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfb…266abacked Rockets | 58c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…38febacked Rockets | 58c | 19.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570b…1263backed Rockets | 58c | 19.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…a2aabacked Rockets | 58c | 18.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…0f55backed Rockets | 58c | 18.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…627bbacked Rockets | 58c | 18.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…87dabacked Rockets | 58c | 18.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…695fbacked Rockets | 58c | 18.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…ae51backed Rockets | 58c | 17.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Rockets | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. RocketsRockets won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.